Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Milan on September 24 around 14–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling typical for late September under stable high-pressure conditions. These forecasts align with the market-implied clustering of probabilities around 11–14°C outcomes while the notable share assigned to 8°C or below may reflect residual model uncertainty or recent regional temperature variability. Historical September lows for the area average near 13–16°C, providing context for current trader positioning. Updated model runs and final observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 24 septembre ?
8°C ou moins 77%
10°C 40%
12°C 40%
14°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
77%
9°C
18%
10°C
40%
11°C
23%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
23%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
8°C ou moins 77%
10°C 40%
12°C 40%
14°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
77%
9°C
$0 Vol.
18%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$32 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$7 Vol.
23%
15°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Milan on September 24 around 14–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling typical for late September under stable high-pressure conditions. These forecasts align with the market-implied clustering of probabilities around 11–14°C outcomes while the notable share assigned to 8°C or below may reflect residual model uncertainty or recent regional temperature variability. Historical September lows for the area average near 13–16°C, providing context for current trader positioning. Updated model runs and final observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$249Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Milan on September 24 around 14–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling typical for late September under stable high-pressure conditions. These forecasts align with the market-implied clustering of probabilities around 11–14°C outcomes while the notable share assigned to 8°C or below may reflect residual model uncertainty or recent regional temperature variability. Historical September lows for the area average near 13–16°C, providing context for current trader positioning. Updated model runs and final observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$249Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Milan on September 24 around 14–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling typical for late September under stable high-pressure conditions. These forecasts align with the market-implied clustering of probabilities around 11–14°C outcomes while the notable share assigned to 8°C or below may reflect residual model uncertainty or recent regional temperature variability. Historical September lows for the area average near 13–16°C, providing context for current trader positioning. Updated model runs and final observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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