Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international providers show Qingdao facing widespread rain and thunderstorms on September 25, with 85–99% precipitation probability and easterly to northeasterly winds shifting northwest. These conditions promote evaporative cooling and limit daytime heating while cloud cover curbs overnight radiative losses, anchoring the minimum near 19–21°C. Coastal maritime influence and recent model runs showing 20–23°C daytime highs further compress the diurnal range. The near-even market odds between 25°C+ and 15°C or below reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, with traders weighting official guidance and ensemble spread ahead of the daily minimum resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Qingdao le 25 septembre ?
15°C ou moins 92%
25°C ou plus 88%
19°C 40%
16°C 39%
15°C ou moins
92%
16°C
39%
17°C
22%
18°C
31%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C ou plus
88%
15°C ou moins 92%
25°C ou plus 88%
19°C 40%
16°C 39%
15°C ou moins
92%
16°C
39%
17°C
22%
18°C
31%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C ou plus
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international providers show Qingdao facing widespread rain and thunderstorms on September 25, with 85–99% precipitation probability and easterly to northeasterly winds shifting northwest. These conditions promote evaporative cooling and limit daytime heating while cloud cover curbs overnight radiative losses, anchoring the minimum near 19–21°C. Coastal maritime influence and recent model runs showing 20–23°C daytime highs further compress the diurnal range. The near-even market odds between 25°C+ and 15°C or below reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, with traders weighting official guidance and ensemble spread ahead of the daily minimum resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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