**Forecast consensus points to a low near 26°C in Shenzhen on September 7, supported by consistent model runs showing persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight temperatures in early September typically hover in the mid-20s°C, with cloud cover and elevated dew points reducing heat loss compared to clearer conditions. Recent patterns of tropical moisture and weak steering flow have kept conditions stable, aligning with official outlooks from regional meteorological services projecting minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. Small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could nudge the reading toward 25°C or 27°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 7 septembre ?
32°C ou plus 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
18%
23°C
13%
24°C
49%
25°C
28%
26°C
35%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C ou plus
59%
32°C ou plus 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
18%
23°C
$25 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a low near 26°C in Shenzhen on September 7, supported by consistent model runs showing persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight temperatures in early September typically hover in the mid-20s°C, with cloud cover and elevated dew points reducing heat loss compared to clearer conditions. Recent patterns of tropical moisture and weak steering flow have kept conditions stable, aligning with official outlooks from regional meteorological services projecting minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. Small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could nudge the reading toward 25°C or 27°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$30Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a low near 26°C in Shenzhen on September 7, supported by consistent model runs showing persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight temperatures in early September typically hover in the mid-20s°C, with cloud cover and elevated dew points reducing heat loss compared to clearer conditions. Recent patterns of tropical moisture and weak steering flow have kept conditions stable, aligning with official outlooks from regional meteorological services projecting minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. Small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could nudge the reading toward 25°C or 27°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a low near 26°C in Shenzhen on September 7, supported by consistent model runs showing persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, overnight temperatures in early September typically hover in the mid-20s°C, with cloud cover and elevated dew points reducing heat loss compared to clearer conditions. Recent patterns of tropical moisture and weak steering flow have kept conditions stable, aligning with official outlooks from regional meteorological services projecting minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. Small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could nudge the reading toward 25°C or 27°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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