With leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 29 août ?
15°C 46%
13°C 42%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
42%
14°C
11%
15°C
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
28%
15°C 46%
13°C 42%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
11°C or below
$121 Vol.
2%
12°C
$5 Vol.
8%
13°C
$6 Vol.
42%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$152Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$152Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...With leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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