Trader consensus favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 62% implied probability, anchored by yesterday's official TSA report of 2,207,180 passengers screened on April 7—a midweek dip from Easter weekend peaks exceeding 2.7 million on April 2, 3, and 6. Spring break travel sustains elevated volumes amid record projections of 2.8 million daily passengers through April, but post-holiday normalization and 3,554 flight disruptions reported on April 8 introduce downside risk, boosting the 1.8M-2.0M outcome to 36.5%. The 2.0M-2.2M bin trails at 21.8% on similar recent patterns, while higher bins fade with no surge catalysts. Official April 8 data, typically posted by 9 a.m. weekdays on TSA.gov, will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour2.2M-2.4M 60%
>2.6M 10%
2.0M-2.2M <1%
<1.8M <1%
$1,696 Vol.
$1,696 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
1%
2.2M-2.4M
57%
2.4M-2.6M
47%
>2.6M
10%
2.2M-2.4M 60%
>2.6M 10%
2.0M-2.2M <1%
<1.8M <1%
$1,696 Vol.
$1,696 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
1%
2.2M-2.4M
57%
2.4M-2.6M
47%
>2.6M
10%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Source de résolution
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 62% implied probability, anchored by yesterday's official TSA report of 2,207,180 passengers screened on April 7—a midweek dip from Easter weekend peaks exceeding 2.7 million on April 2, 3, and 6. Spring break travel sustains elevated volumes amid record projections of 2.8 million daily passengers through April, but post-holiday normalization and 3,554 flight disruptions reported on April 8 introduce downside risk, boosting the 1.8M-2.0M outcome to 36.5%. The 2.0M-2.2M bin trails at 21.8% on similar recent patterns, while higher bins fade with no surge catalysts. Official April 8 data, typically posted by 9 a.m. weekdays on TSA.gov, will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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