Polymarket's trader consensus assigns a leading 57.5% implied probability to 2.6 million-2.8 million TSA passengers on April 10, mirroring recent weekday throughput like April 2's Thursday peak of 2.71 million and April 6's Monday at 2.71 million, as post-Easter travel normalizes after spring break highs. A sharp April 7 dip to 2.21 million—lowest since early April—reflects holiday pullback and year-over-year declines near 9%, yet fails to erode confidence in Thursday rebound patterns amid easing TSA staffing strains from March. The secondary 37.5% on 2.8-3.0 million nods to Airlines for America projections of sustained 2.8 million daily averages through April, while lower bins garner scant support from softening consumer travel demand. Resolution awaits April 11 morning release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour2.6M-2.8M 67%
2.8M-3.0M 38%
2.4M-2.6M 16%
2.2M-2.4M 2.6%
<2.2M
2%
2.2M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.6M
23%
2.6M-2.8M
67%
2.8M-3.0M
28%
>3.0M
1%
2.6M-2.8M 67%
2.8M-3.0M 38%
2.4M-2.6M 16%
2.2M-2.4M 2.6%
<2.2M
2%
2.2M-2.4M
3%
2.4M-2.6M
23%
2.6M-2.8M
67%
2.8M-3.0M
28%
>3.0M
1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Source de résolution
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's trader consensus assigns a leading 57.5% implied probability to 2.6 million-2.8 million TSA passengers on April 10, mirroring recent weekday throughput like April 2's Thursday peak of 2.71 million and April 6's Monday at 2.71 million, as post-Easter travel normalizes after spring break highs. A sharp April 7 dip to 2.21 million—lowest since early April—reflects holiday pullback and year-over-year declines near 9%, yet fails to erode confidence in Thursday rebound patterns amid easing TSA staffing strains from March. The secondary 37.5% on 2.8-3.0 million nods to Airlines for America projections of sustained 2.8 million daily averages through April, while lower bins garner scant support from softening consumer travel demand. Resolution awaits April 11 morning release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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