President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran represents the latest escalation signal amid a fragile US-Iran two-week ceasefire, but traders price "No" at 79.5% as it lacks the market's required specificity—announcing new or increased tariffs targeting a particular nation for its military cooperation with Iran, such as arms provision. The post's generic phrasing falls short of resolution criteria needing named countries or official imposition linked explicitly to such ties. Recent de-escalation, including US-Israeli strikes claiming destruction of Iran's defense-industrial base and talks on uranium removal, has eased tensions, lowering expectations for formal tariff actions before the April 17 deadline despite ongoing diplomatic posturing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump annonce des tarifs douaniers sur le pays armant l'Iran d'ici le 17 avril ?
Trump annonce des tarifs douaniers sur le pays armant l'Iran d'ici le 17 avril ?
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran represents the latest escalation signal amid a fragile US-Iran two-week ceasefire, but traders price "No" at 79.5% as it lacks the market's required specificity—announcing new or increased tariffs targeting a particular nation for its military cooperation with Iran, such as arms provision. The post's generic phrasing falls short of resolution criteria needing named countries or official imposition linked explicitly to such ties. Recent de-escalation, including US-Israeli strikes claiming destruction of Iran's defense-industrial base and talks on uranium removal, has eased tensions, lowering expectations for formal tariff actions before the April 17 deadline despite ongoing diplomatic posturing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$3,084Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran represents the latest escalation signal amid a fragile US-Iran two-week ceasefire, but traders price "No" at 79.5% as it lacks the market's required specificity—announcing new or increased tariffs targeting a particular nation for its military cooperation with Iran, such as arms provision. The post's generic phrasing falls short of resolution criteria needing named countries or official imposition linked explicitly to such ties. Recent de-escalation, including US-Israeli strikes claiming destruction of Iran's defense-industrial base and talks on uranium removal, has eased tensions, lowering expectations for formal tariff actions before the April 17 deadline despite ongoing diplomatic posturing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,084Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran represents the latest escalation signal amid a fragile US-Iran two-week ceasefire, but traders price "No" at 79.5% as it lacks the market's required specificity—announcing new or increased tariffs targeting a particular nation for its military cooperation with Iran, such as arms provision. The post's generic phrasing falls short of resolution criteria needing named countries or official imposition linked explicitly to such ties. Recent de-escalation, including US-Israeli strikes claiming destruction of Iran's defense-industrial base and talks on uranium removal, has eased tensions, lowering expectations for formal tariff actions before the April 17 deadline despite ongoing diplomatic posturing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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