Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile strikes in mid-March 2026 that halted operations at Ras Laffan facilities and damaged two liquefaction trains, eliminating 17% of national capacity for 3-5 years per CEO Saad al-Kaabi's statements. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected contracts, ceased downstream output, and conditioned restarts on ending hostilities—estimated at 3-4 months minimum even then—while North Field East expansion timelines slipped to 2027. No official resumption signals have emerged in the past month amid ongoing regional tensions, underscoring structural barriers to near-term recovery.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
$15,497 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,497 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
NOUVEAU
$15,497 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,497 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile strikes in mid-March 2026 that halted operations at Ras Laffan facilities and damaged two liquefaction trains, eliminating 17% of national capacity for 3-5 years per CEO Saad al-Kaabi's statements. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected contracts, ceased downstream output, and conditioned restarts on ending hostilities—estimated at 3-4 months minimum even then—while North Field East expansion timelines slipped to 2027. No official resumption signals have emerged in the past month amid ongoing regional tensions, underscoring structural barriers to near-term recovery.
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$15,497Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile strikes in mid-March 2026 that halted operations at Ras Laffan facilities and damaged two liquefaction trains, eliminating 17% of national capacity for 3-5 years per CEO Saad al-Kaabi's statements. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected contracts, ceased downstream output, and conditioned restarts on ending hostilities—estimated at 3-4 months minimum even then—while North Field East expansion timelines slipped to 2027. No official resumption signals have emerged in the past month amid ongoing regional tensions, underscoring structural barriers to near-term recovery.
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,497Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile strikes in mid-March 2026 that halted operations at Ras Laffan facilities and damaged two liquefaction trains, eliminating 17% of national capacity for 3-5 years per CEO Saad al-Kaabi's statements. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected contracts, ceased downstream output, and conditioned restarts on ending hostilities—estimated at 3-4 months minimum even then—while North Field East expansion timelines slipped to 2027. No official resumption signals have emerged in the past month amid ongoing regional tensions, underscoring structural barriers to near-term recovery.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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