Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrecipitation in Hong Kong in May?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
220-230mm 100.0%
<180mm <1%
180-190mm <1%
190-200mm <1%
$102,036 Vol.
$102,036 Vol.
31 mai 2026
<180mm
No
180-190mm
No
190-200mm
No
200-210mm
No
210-220mm
No
220-230mm
Yes
230-240mm
No
240mm+
No
220-230mm 100.0%
<180mm <1%
180-190mm <1%
190-200mm <1%
$102,036 Vol.
$102,036 Vol.
31 mai 2026
<180mm
$17,065 Vol.
No
180-190mm
$11,176 Vol.
No
190-200mm
$8,849 Vol.
No
200-210mm
$17,453 Vol.
No
210-220mm
$17,913 Vol.
No
220-230mm
$11,411 Vol.
Yes
230-240mm
$7,090 Vol.
No
240mm+
$11,079 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$102,036Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,036Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Hong Kong Observatory measurements through late May 2026 recorded 215 mm of rainfall, placing the monthly total near the lower end of the typical 220–300 mm climatological range for the period amid scattered convective showers and isolated heavy episodes rather than persistent monsoon systems. This observational baseline, combined with minimal additional accumulation expected or recorded by month-end, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on the 220–230 mm outcome. The market-implied probability reflects aggregated assessments of official daily extracts and forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, though final verification could shift slightly if post-28 May data revisions or localized measurement differences alter the precise total.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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