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icon for Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ?
Géopolitique·Putin

Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ?

icon for Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ?
Géopolitique·Putin

Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ?

juil. 1, 2027

juil. 1, 2027

$23,682,312 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Gagnez 3.25%
Polymarket

$23,682,312 Vol.

Polymarket

30 septembre 2026

$1,205,330 Vol.

1%

31 décembre 2026

$20,699,468 Vol.

7%

30 juin 2027

$423,562 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin remains firmly in office following his 2024 reelection for a term extending to 2030, with no scheduled presidential vote or constitutional trigger for early departure. Ongoing Ukraine conflict developments, including Russian incremental gains in Donetsk alongside Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure that have caused domestic fuel shortages, have tested economic resilience but produced no visible elite challenge or public signals of resignation. Recent U.S. envoy talks in Moscow yielded no ceasefire or leadership shift, while Putin continues active diplomacy at BRICS events and with partners like India. Parliamentary elections in September 2026 could test United Russia support amid reported war fatigue, yet institutional controls and the absence of designated successors keep abrupt transitions unlikely. Trader consensus prices near-term removal as low-probability, reflecting the durability of centralized authority absent major health, legal, or internal political shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,682,312
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin remains firmly in office following his 2024 reelection for a term extending to 2030, with no scheduled presidential vote or constitutional trigger for early departure. Ongoing Ukraine conflict developments, including Russian incremental gains in Donetsk alongside Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure that have caused domestic fuel shortages, have tested economic resilience but produced no visible elite challenge or public signals of resignation. Recent U.S. envoy talks in Moscow yielded no ceasefire or leadership shift, while Putin continues active diplomacy at BRICS events and with partners like India. Parliamentary elections in September 2026 could test United Russia support amid reported war fatigue, yet institutional controls and the absence of designated successors keep abrupt transitions unlikely. Trader consensus prices near-term removal as low-probability, reflecting the durability of centralized authority absent major health, legal, or internal political shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,682,312
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x157Ce2d67...

Connexes

icon for Accord de cessez-le-feu Russie x Ukraine d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

Accord de cessez-le-feu Russie x Ukraine d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

70%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin 2027 » à 14%, suivi de « 31 décembre 2026 » à 7%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 14¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ? » a généré $23.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 6, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ? » est « 30 juin 2027 » à 14%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 14% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 7%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Poutine à la présidence de la Russie par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.