**Strong pre-release tracking and early audience validation have anchored "Runner" firmly above $6 million for its opening weekend, with traders assigning a 96.9% implied probability to that outcome.** The Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios opened September 11 in roughly 2,568 theaters and posted an estimated $2.5 million on its first day, aligning with Deadline and industry models projecting a $6 million weekend that would place it near the domestic top five. A solid A- CinemaScore and 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced momentum, echoing the performance of comparable mid-budget action titles and capitalizing on Ritchson’s established fanbase. Limited competition in the post-summer frame and the studio’s audience-focused release strategy further support the consensus. An upset below $5 million would require sharply negative word-of-mouth or unexpectedly soft holdover from opening day, scenarios that current metrics make unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « Runner »
Box-office d'ouverture du week-end « Runner »
6M+ 96.9%
5-6 millions 3.5%
<3M 1.9%
4-5M <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
<3M
2%
3-4M
<1%
4-5M
<1%
5-6 millions
4%
6M+
97%
6M+ 96.9%
5-6 millions 3.5%
<3M 1.9%
4-5M <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
<3M
$2,435 Vol.
2%
3-4M
$2,055 Vol.
<1%
4-5M
$612 Vol.
<1%
5-6 millions
$1,774 Vol.
4%
6M+
$1,379 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong pre-release tracking and early audience validation have anchored "Runner" firmly above $6 million for its opening weekend, with traders assigning a 96.9% implied probability to that outcome.** The Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios opened September 11 in roughly 2,568 theaters and posted an estimated $2.5 million on its first day, aligning with Deadline and industry models projecting a $6 million weekend that would place it near the domestic top five. A solid A- CinemaScore and 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced momentum, echoing the performance of comparable mid-budget action titles and capitalizing on Ritchson’s established fanbase. Limited competition in the post-summer frame and the studio’s audience-focused release strategy further support the consensus. An upset below $5 million would require sharply negative word-of-mouth or unexpectedly soft holdover from opening day, scenarios that current metrics make unlikely.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Volume
$8,255Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong pre-release tracking and early audience validation have anchored "Runner" firmly above $6 million for its opening weekend, with traders assigning a 96.9% implied probability to that outcome.** The Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios opened September 11 in roughly 2,568 theaters and posted an estimated $2.5 million on its first day, aligning with Deadline and industry models projecting a $6 million weekend that would place it near the domestic top five. A solid A- CinemaScore and 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced momentum, echoing the performance of comparable mid-budget action titles and capitalizing on Ritchson’s established fanbase. Limited competition in the post-summer frame and the studio’s audience-focused release strategy further support the consensus. An upset below $5 million would require sharply negative word-of-mouth or unexpectedly soft holdover from opening day, scenarios that current metrics make unlikely.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$8,255Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Strong pre-release tracking and early audience validation have anchored "Runner" firmly above $6 million for its opening weekend, with traders assigning a 96.9% implied probability to that outcome.** The Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson action-comedy from Angel Studios opened September 11 in roughly 2,568 theaters and posted an estimated $2.5 million on its first day, aligning with Deadline and industry models projecting a $6 million weekend that would place it near the domestic top five. A solid A- CinemaScore and 70% Rotten Tomatoes score have reinforced momentum, echoing the performance of comparable mid-budget action titles and capitalizing on Ritchson’s established fanbase. Limited competition in the post-summer frame and the studio’s audience-focused release strategy further support the consensus. An upset below $5 million would require sharply negative word-of-mouth or unexpectedly soft holdover from opening day, scenarios that current metrics make unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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