**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « The Uprising »
<4,5m 57%
4,5-5,5 millions 23%
5,5-6,5 M 14%
7,5 millions+ 14%
<4,5m
57%
4,5-5,5 millions
23%
5,5-6,5 M
14%
6,5-7,5 M
8%
7,5 millions+
14%
<4,5m 57%
4,5-5,5 millions 23%
5,5-6,5 M 14%
7,5 millions+ 14%
<4,5m
57%
4,5-5,5 millions
23%
5,5-6,5 M
14%
6,5-7,5 M
8%
7,5 millions+
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**The Uprising** faces subdued opening-weekend expectations, with traders heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut at 57.5% implied probability. As a mid-budget R-rated historical action drama from Focus Features and Blumhouse, the Paul Greengrass-directed film lacks major franchise backing or broad commercial hooks despite Andrew Garfield’s star power and its loose ties to the Robin Hood legend. Limited presales data, minimal early critical or audience tracking, and competition from other September releases reinforce the cautious consensus. The brief U.S. marketing rebrand emphasizing Robin Hood elements has not generated significant momentum. With the wide release set for September 10–11, the market reflects the challenges typical period pieces encounter in securing strong theatrical launches absent exceptional word-of-mouth or event positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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