Market icon

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick seront tous sortis d'ici le 31 mai ?

Market icon

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick seront tous sortis d'ici le 31 mai ?

Oui

47% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$15,971 Vol.

Oui

47% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$15,971 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales amid sexual misconduct allegations and House Ethics Committee probes—effective within the past 48 hours—have refocused bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, both facing investigations for financial improprieties and other violations. Traders price "No" slightly ahead at 53.5%, reflecting uncertainty over achieving the two-thirds supermajority needed for expulsion votes in the narrow Republican House majority, alongside reluctance to oust party members. Cherfilus-McCormick's scheduled Ethics hearing later this month could prompt a floor vote or resignation, tipping toward "Yes," while failed cloture or procedural delays might solidify "No" by May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,971
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales amid sexual misconduct allegations and House Ethics Committee probes—effective within the past 48 hours—have refocused bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, both facing investigations for financial improprieties and other violations. Traders price "No" slightly ahead at 53.5%, reflecting uncertainty over achieving the two-thirds supermajority needed for expulsion votes in the narrow Republican House majority, alongside reluctance to oust party members. Cherfilus-McCormick's scheduled Ethics hearing later this month could prompt a floor vote or resignation, tipping toward "Yes," while failed cloture or procedural delays might solidify "No" by May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,971
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick seront tous sortis d'ici le 31 mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick tous éliminés d'ici le 31 mai ? » à 47%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick seront tous sortis d'ici le 31 mai ? » a généré $16K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick seront tous sortis d'ici le 31 mai ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick seront tous sortis d'ici le 31 mai ? » est « Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick tous éliminés d'ici le 31 mai ? » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez et Cherfilus-McCormick seront tous sortis d'ici le 31 mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.