Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales amid sexual misconduct allegations and House Ethics Committee probes—effective within the past 48 hours—have refocused bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, both facing investigations for financial improprieties and other violations. Traders price "No" slightly ahead at 53.5%, reflecting uncertainty over achieving the two-thirds supermajority needed for expulsion votes in the narrow Republican House majority, alongside reluctance to oust party members. Cherfilus-McCormick's scheduled Ethics hearing later this month could prompt a floor vote or resignation, tipping toward "Yes," while failed cloture or procedural delays might solidify "No" by May 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
Oui
$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales amid sexual misconduct allegations and House Ethics Committee probes—effective within the past 48 hours—have refocused bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, both facing investigations for financial improprieties and other violations. Traders price "No" slightly ahead at 53.5%, reflecting uncertainty over achieving the two-thirds supermajority needed for expulsion votes in the narrow Republican House majority, alongside reluctance to oust party members. Cherfilus-McCormick's scheduled Ethics hearing later this month could prompt a floor vote or resignation, tipping toward "Yes," while failed cloture or procedural delays might solidify "No" by May 31 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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