The spread across turnout buckets for the 2026 House elections stems primarily from uncertainty over voter mobilization in a midterm under an incumbent president whose approval has declined amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Democratic advantages in recent generic congressional polling and elevated youth interest signal potential for stronger participation, while typical midterm drop-off from presidential-year levels and Republican redistricting gains introduce counterbalancing effects. With no dominant catalyst yet locking in higher or lower totals near historical benchmarks around 107–113 million votes, trader consensus remains dispersed as parties ramp up primary and general election efforts ahead of November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour130M+ 23%
<85M 22.1%
115-120m 19%
120-125 millions 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
22%
85-90 millions
1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
5%
105-110m
5%
110-115 millions
11%
115-120m
19%
120-125 millions
19%
125-130m
21%
130M+
23%
130M+ 23%
<85M 22.1%
115-120m 19%
120-125 millions 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
$371 Vol.
22%
85-90 millions
$419 Vol.
1%
90-95 millions
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
1%
100-105m
$809 Vol.
5%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115 millions
$549 Vol.
11%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
19%
120-125 millions
$408 Vol.
19%
125-130m
$1,204 Vol.
21%
130M+
$318 Vol.
23%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The spread across turnout buckets for the 2026 House elections stems primarily from uncertainty over voter mobilization in a midterm under an incumbent president whose approval has declined amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Democratic advantages in recent generic congressional polling and elevated youth interest signal potential for stronger participation, while typical midterm drop-off from presidential-year levels and Republican redistricting gains introduce counterbalancing effects. With no dominant catalyst yet locking in higher or lower totals near historical benchmarks around 107–113 million votes, trader consensus remains dispersed as parties ramp up primary and general election efforts ahead of November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,358Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The spread across turnout buckets for the 2026 House elections stems primarily from uncertainty over voter mobilization in a midterm under an incumbent president whose approval has declined amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Democratic advantages in recent generic congressional polling and elevated youth interest signal potential for stronger participation, while typical midterm drop-off from presidential-year levels and Republican redistricting gains introduce counterbalancing effects. With no dominant catalyst yet locking in higher or lower totals near historical benchmarks around 107–113 million votes, trader consensus remains dispersed as parties ramp up primary and general election efforts ahead of November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,358Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The spread across turnout buckets for the 2026 House elections stems primarily from uncertainty over voter mobilization in a midterm under an incumbent president whose approval has declined amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Democratic advantages in recent generic congressional polling and elevated youth interest signal potential for stronger participation, while typical midterm drop-off from presidential-year levels and Republican redistricting gains introduce counterbalancing effects. With no dominant catalyst yet locking in higher or lower totals near historical benchmarks around 107–113 million votes, trader consensus remains dispersed as parties ramp up primary and general election efforts ahead of November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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