Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout centers on the 120-125 million range amid typical midterm dynamics that produce lower participation than presidential years. Generic ballot polling shows a consistent Democratic edge, yet special election results highlight enthusiasm gaps between parties that could compress or expand overall participation depending on how they translate to November. Redistricting changes, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and early primary activity add uncertainty without clear signals on mobilization. Historical patterns place most midterms near or below 120 million votes, while any surge in voter interest from economic or policy debates could push totals higher. The tight pricing between leading bins reflects these offsetting factors ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour130M+ 44%
120-125 millions 29%
<85M 17.8%
115-120m 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
18%
85-90 millions
<1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
6%
110-115 millions
13%
115-120m
15%
120-125 millions
29%
125-130m
20%
130M+
29%
130M+ 44%
120-125 millions 29%
<85M 17.8%
115-120m 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
$381 Vol.
18%
85-90 millions
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millions
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
1%
100-105m
$809 Vol.
4%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
6%
110-115 millions
$549 Vol.
13%
115-120m
$1,081 Vol.
15%
120-125 millions
$408 Vol.
29%
125-130m
$1,204 Vol.
20%
130M+
$318 Vol.
29%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout centers on the 120-125 million range amid typical midterm dynamics that produce lower participation than presidential years. Generic ballot polling shows a consistent Democratic edge, yet special election results highlight enthusiasm gaps between parties that could compress or expand overall participation depending on how they translate to November. Redistricting changes, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and early primary activity add uncertainty without clear signals on mobilization. Historical patterns place most midterms near or below 120 million votes, while any surge in voter interest from economic or policy debates could push totals higher. The tight pricing between leading bins reflects these offsetting factors ahead of the general election.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,425Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout centers on the 120-125 million range amid typical midterm dynamics that produce lower participation than presidential years. Generic ballot polling shows a consistent Democratic edge, yet special election results highlight enthusiasm gaps between parties that could compress or expand overall participation depending on how they translate to November. Redistricting changes, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and early primary activity add uncertainty without clear signals on mobilization. Historical patterns place most midterms near or below 120 million votes, while any surge in voter interest from economic or policy debates could push totals higher. The tight pricing between leading bins reflects these offsetting factors ahead of the general election.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,425Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout centers on the 120-125 million range amid typical midterm dynamics that produce lower participation than presidential years. Generic ballot polling shows a consistent Democratic edge, yet special election results highlight enthusiasm gaps between parties that could compress or expand overall participation depending on how they translate to November. Redistricting changes, candidate recruitment in battlegrounds, and early primary activity add uncertainty without clear signals on mobilization. Historical patterns place most midterms near or below 120 million votes, while any surge in voter interest from economic or policy debates could push totals higher. The tight pricing between leading bins reflects these offsetting factors ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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