Recent primary results and special election data show Democratic voters participating at higher rates than Republicans, consistent with generic ballot polling that gives the opposition party a modest edge. Sustained youth engagement, with over half of young adults indicating strong intent to vote, supports the market’s clustering around 120-130 million total ballots. At the same time, historical midterm turnout patterns—typically 47-50 percent of eligible voters—combined with uneven Republican mobilization in an off-year cycle keep the 130 million-plus outcome from pulling further ahead. Redistricting litigation and upcoming primaries could still shift participation dynamics before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour130M+ 44%
<85M 17.7%
115-120m 15%
125-130m 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
18%
85-90 millions
<1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
6%
110-115 millions
14%
115-120m
15%
120-125 millions
27%
125-130m
20%
130M+
30%
130M+ 44%
<85M 17.7%
115-120m 15%
125-130m 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
$391 Vol.
18%
85-90 millions
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millions
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
1%
100-105m
$809 Vol.
4%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
6%
110-115 millions
$549 Vol.
14%
115-120m
$1,081 Vol.
15%
120-125 millions
$408 Vol.
27%
125-130m
$1,204 Vol.
20%
130M+
$318 Vol.
30%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary results and special election data show Democratic voters participating at higher rates than Republicans, consistent with generic ballot polling that gives the opposition party a modest edge. Sustained youth engagement, with over half of young adults indicating strong intent to vote, supports the market’s clustering around 120-130 million total ballots. At the same time, historical midterm turnout patterns—typically 47-50 percent of eligible voters—combined with uneven Republican mobilization in an off-year cycle keep the 130 million-plus outcome from pulling further ahead. Redistricting litigation and upcoming primaries could still shift participation dynamics before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,435Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary results and special election data show Democratic voters participating at higher rates than Republicans, consistent with generic ballot polling that gives the opposition party a modest edge. Sustained youth engagement, with over half of young adults indicating strong intent to vote, supports the market’s clustering around 120-130 million total ballots. At the same time, historical midterm turnout patterns—typically 47-50 percent of eligible voters—combined with uneven Republican mobilization in an off-year cycle keep the 130 million-plus outcome from pulling further ahead. Redistricting litigation and upcoming primaries could still shift participation dynamics before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,435Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary results and special election data show Democratic voters participating at higher rates than Republicans, consistent with generic ballot polling that gives the opposition party a modest edge. Sustained youth engagement, with over half of young adults indicating strong intent to vote, supports the market’s clustering around 120-130 million total ballots. At the same time, historical midterm turnout patterns—typically 47-50 percent of eligible voters—combined with uneven Republican mobilization in an off-year cycle keep the 130 million-plus outcome from pulling further ahead. Redistricting litigation and upcoming primaries could still shift participation dynamics before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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