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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Market icon

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Up

40% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Up

40% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating has declined this week amid escalating tensions in the Iran war and surging gas prices, with net approval dropping to -16.3 as of April 10 from -13.4 last week and briefly hitting a second-term low of -17.5. Recent CNN polling shows overall approval at 36% and economic handling at a career-low 31%, reflecting voter concerns over inflation, foreign policy, and fuel costs tied to Middle East conflict. A fragile ceasefire announcement offers some stabilization potential, but traders price in continued downward pressure from these catalysts, diverging slightly from steadier historical incumbent trends during international crises.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$55
Date de fin
18 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating has declined this week amid escalating tensions in the Iran war and surging gas prices, with net approval dropping to -16.3 as of April 10 from -13.4 last week and briefly hitting a second-term low of -17.5. Recent CNN polling shows overall approval at 36% and economic handling at a career-low 31%, reflecting voter concerns over inflation, foreign policy, and fuel costs tied to Middle East conflict. A fragile ceasefire announcement offers some stabilization potential, but traders price in continued downward pressure from these catalysts, diverging slightly from steadier historical incumbent trends during international crises.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$55
Date de fin
18 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump approval Up or Down this week? » est un marché de prédiction quotidien sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur la question de savoir si le prix de Trump approval Up or Down this week? finira plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») que son prix d'ouverture sur la fenêtre quotidien spécifiée dans le titre. La probabilité actuelle du marché est de 60% pour « Down ». Un prix de 60% signifie que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Les prix sont mis à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux mouvements de prix en direct de Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Trump approval Up or Down this week? » est un marché actif à court terme sur Polymarket. Le volume de trading peut s'accumuler rapidement à mesure que la fenêtre quotidien progresse — entrez tôt pour aider à définir les cotes avant la fermeture de cette fenêtre.

Pour trader sur « Trump approval Up or Down this week? », décidez si vous pensez que le prix de Trump approval Up or Down this week? à midi ET le April 17 sera plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») qu'à midi ET le April 10. Achetez « Up » si vous pensez que le prix va monter, ou « Down » s'il va baisser. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat est correct, chaque part rapporte $1,00. S'il est incorrect, les parts valent $0.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Trump approval Up or Down this week? » est de 60% pour « Down », ce qui signifie que la communauté Polymarket attribue actuellement une probabilité de 60% que le prix de Trump approval Up or Down this week? finira down sur cette fenêtre quotidien. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux données de prix en direct de Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Sur une journée entière, les cotes reflètent le sentiment en évolution à mesure que l'action de prix de la journée se déroule. Revenez fréquemment ou tradez maintenant avant la fermeture de la fenêtre.

Le marché « Trump approval Up or Down this week? » se résout sur la base d'une comparaison du prix de Trump approval Up or Down this week? à midi ET le April 17 par rapport à midi ET le April 10, en utilisant les prix de clôture des bougies 1 minute Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT. Si le prix à midi du April 17 est plus élevé, le résultat est « Up » ; s'il est plus bas, « Down » ; s'il est égal, le marché se résout 50-50. Vous pouvez consulter les critères complets dans la section « Règles ».