Polymarket traders are assigning roughly 45% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing above $260 on March 24, 2025, driven primarily by optimism around the Cybercab robotaxi unveil's momentum and Q4 delivery beats that propelled shares 22% post-Q3 earnings. TSLA trades at $258 amid EV demand resilience despite China competition and margin pressure from price cuts, with trader consensus factoring in potential FSD regulatory wins. Key risks include softening U.S. auto loans tied to Fed rate path—watch December FOMC for signals—and January 2 Q4 delivery report, which could catalyze a pre-March breakout or retracement toward 200-day SMA support at $235.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour350 $
75%
360 $
95%
370 $
51%
380 $
49%
390 $
51%
$1,155 Vol.
350 $
75%
360 $
95%
370 $
51%
380 $
49%
390 $
51%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are assigning roughly 45% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing above $260 on March 24, 2025, driven primarily by optimism around the Cybercab robotaxi unveil's momentum and Q4 delivery beats that propelled shares 22% post-Q3 earnings. TSLA trades at $258 amid EV demand resilience despite China competition and margin pressure from price cuts, with trader consensus factoring in potential FSD regulatory wins. Key risks include softening U.S. auto loans tied to Fed rate path—watch December FOMC for signals—and January 2 Q4 delivery report, which could catalyze a pre-March breakout or retracement toward 200-day SMA support at $235.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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