Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination for Texas's 13th congressional district with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The Panhandle-based seat has long favored Republicans in general elections, a pattern reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its partisan composition. Democratic nominee Mark Nair advanced without a primary contest but confronts the district's consistent voting patterns and the incumbent's established position. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-13
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-13
$11,981 Vol.
$11,981 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
8%
$11,981 Vol.
$11,981 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$1,415 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$10,566 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination for Texas's 13th congressional district with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The Panhandle-based seat has long favored Republicans in general elections, a pattern reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its partisan composition. Democratic nominee Mark Nair advanced without a primary contest but confronts the district's consistent voting patterns and the incumbent's established position. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$11,981Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination for Texas's 13th congressional district with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The Panhandle-based seat has long favored Republicans in general elections, a pattern reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its partisan composition. Democratic nominee Mark Nair advanced without a primary contest but confronts the district's consistent voting patterns and the incumbent's established position. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,981Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination for Texas's 13th congressional district with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The Panhandle-based seat has long favored Republicans in general elections, a pattern reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its partisan composition. Democratic nominee Mark Nair advanced without a primary contest but confronts the district's consistent voting patterns and the incumbent's established position. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of retaining the seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late scandal, major health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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