Incumbent Republican Randy Weber secured his party's nomination with ease in the March primary and faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November general election for Texas's 14th congressional district. The seat's R+12 to R+17 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races, anchors trader pricing near 95 percent for the GOP. Redistricting preserved the district's core in Galveston and surrounding southeast Texas counties, where Republican performance has held steady. With all major forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican and no competitive polling or major developments shifting the landscape since the May Democratic runoff, the implied probability aligns with the district's structural advantages. Late shifts could arise only from an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-14
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-14
$23,444 Vol.
$23,444 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$23,444 Vol.
$23,444 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$9,570 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$13,874 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Weber secured his party's nomination with ease in the March primary and faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November general election for Texas's 14th congressional district. The seat's R+12 to R+17 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races, anchors trader pricing near 95 percent for the GOP. Redistricting preserved the district's core in Galveston and surrounding southeast Texas counties, where Republican performance has held steady. With all major forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican and no competitive polling or major developments shifting the landscape since the May Democratic runoff, the implied probability aligns with the district's structural advantages. Late shifts could arise only from an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$23,444Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Weber secured his party's nomination with ease in the March primary and faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November general election for Texas's 14th congressional district. The seat's R+12 to R+17 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races, anchors trader pricing near 95 percent for the GOP. Redistricting preserved the district's core in Galveston and surrounding southeast Texas counties, where Republican performance has held steady. With all major forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican and no competitive polling or major developments shifting the landscape since the May Democratic runoff, the implied probability aligns with the district's structural advantages. Late shifts could arise only from an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,444Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Randy Weber secured his party's nomination with ease in the March primary and faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November general election for Texas's 14th congressional district. The seat's R+12 to R+17 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide races, anchors trader pricing near 95 percent for the GOP. Redistricting preserved the district's core in Galveston and surrounding southeast Texas counties, where Republican performance has held steady. With all major forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican and no competitive polling or major developments shifting the landscape since the May Democratic runoff, the implied probability aligns with the district's structural advantages. Late shifts could arise only from an unforeseen national wave, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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