The U.S. debt ceiling, raised to $41.1 trillion in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed by President Trump, provides substantial headroom with gross national debt at $38.9 trillion as of early March 2026, per Joint Economic Committee data. Congress recently finalized FY2026 appropriations in February, passing multiple funding bills and averting shutdowns through bipartisan compromise. CBO projections indicate deficits averaging $2 trillion annually through 2036, with the limit potentially reached in 2027, but Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—79 successful increases since 1960 without default—bolster trader consensus at 95% "No." President Trump's April 3 FY2027 budget proposal for non-defense cuts signals fiscal restraint, though political gridlock or unexpected spending surges could prompt earlier action via suspension or reconciliation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLes États-Unis font défaut sur la dette d'ici 2027 ?
Les États-Unis font défaut sur la dette d'ici 2027 ?
Oui
$14,699 Vol.
$14,699 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$14,699 Vol.
$14,699 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The U.S. debt ceiling, raised to $41.1 trillion in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed by President Trump, provides substantial headroom with gross national debt at $38.9 trillion as of early March 2026, per Joint Economic Committee data. Congress recently finalized FY2026 appropriations in February, passing multiple funding bills and averting shutdowns through bipartisan compromise. CBO projections indicate deficits averaging $2 trillion annually through 2036, with the limit potentially reached in 2027, but Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—79 successful increases since 1960 without default—bolster trader consensus at 95% "No." President Trump's April 3 FY2027 budget proposal for non-defense cuts signals fiscal restraint, though political gridlock or unexpected spending surges could prompt earlier action via suspension or reconciliation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$14,699Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The U.S. debt ceiling, raised to $41.1 trillion in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed by President Trump, provides substantial headroom with gross national debt at $38.9 trillion as of early March 2026, per Joint Economic Committee data. Congress recently finalized FY2026 appropriations in February, passing multiple funding bills and averting shutdowns through bipartisan compromise. CBO projections indicate deficits averaging $2 trillion annually through 2036, with the limit potentially reached in 2027, but Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—79 successful increases since 1960 without default—bolster trader consensus at 95% "No." President Trump's April 3 FY2027 budget proposal for non-defense cuts signals fiscal restraint, though political gridlock or unexpected spending surges could prompt earlier action via suspension or reconciliation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Volume
$14,699Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. debt ceiling, raised to $41.1 trillion in July 2025 via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed by President Trump, provides substantial headroom with gross national debt at $38.9 trillion as of early March 2026, per Joint Economic Committee data. Congress recently finalized FY2026 appropriations in February, passing multiple funding bills and averting shutdowns through bipartisan compromise. CBO projections indicate deficits averaging $2 trillion annually through 2036, with the limit potentially reached in 2027, but Treasury's extraordinary measures and historical precedent—79 successful increases since 1960 without default—bolster trader consensus at 95% "No." President Trump's April 3 FY2027 budget proposal for non-defense cuts signals fiscal restraint, though political gridlock or unexpected spending surges could prompt earlier action via suspension or reconciliation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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