Tim Cook’s announced transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman, with hardware lead John Ternus succeeding him in September 2026, anchors current trader sentiment and drives the highest implied probability among listed outcomes. Broader 2026 tech turnover—marked by over a dozen senior OpenAI executive exits, DeepMind researcher departures over AI safety concerns, and calls from leaders like Dario Amodei and Sam Altman to pace frontier model development—has not yet translated into confirmed CEO-level changes at OpenAI, Google, Amazon, or Coinbase. Low single-digit to low-teen probabilities for Altman, Pichai, Jassy, and Armstrong reflect stable leadership amid AI integration pressures and upcoming catalysts like earnings reports and regulatory scrutiny, with markets pricing in limited near-term disruption before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuels PDG sortiront avant 2027 ?
$714,547 Vol.

Sundar Pichai - Google
7%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
6%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
6%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
5%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
4%
$714,547 Vol.

Sundar Pichai - Google
7%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
6%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
6%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
5%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
4%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Tim Cook’s announced transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman, with hardware lead John Ternus succeeding him in September 2026, anchors current trader sentiment and drives the highest implied probability among listed outcomes. Broader 2026 tech turnover—marked by over a dozen senior OpenAI executive exits, DeepMind researcher departures over AI safety concerns, and calls from leaders like Dario Amodei and Sam Altman to pace frontier model development—has not yet translated into confirmed CEO-level changes at OpenAI, Google, Amazon, or Coinbase. Low single-digit to low-teen probabilities for Altman, Pichai, Jassy, and Armstrong reflect stable leadership amid AI integration pressures and upcoming catalysts like earnings reports and regulatory scrutiny, with markets pricing in limited near-term disruption before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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