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icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Politique·Suède

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Politique·Suède

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

NOUVEAU
31 janv. 2027
Polymarket

$7,978 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2,308 Vol.

91%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$954 Vol.

83%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$968 Vol.

72%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$725 Vol.

66%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$1,159 Vol.

28%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$925 Vol.

29%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$869 Vol.

11%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$26 Vol.

5%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$45 Vol.

47%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s 13 September 2026 general election will determine the next government after the current Tidö-supported minority cabinet of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats. Recent polls show the centre-left opposition bloc (led by Social Democrats together with Left and Green parties, and potentially the Centre Party) holding a narrow lead of roughly 50–54 percent against 43–47 percent for the incumbent right-wing grouping, with the Social Democrats remaining the largest single party. Security, crime and economic issues dominate the campaign. Post-election government formation typically requires cross-party negotiations because no bloc commands an outright majority in the 349-seat Riksdag, and historical patterns of minority or coalition arrangements continue to shape trader assessments of which parties are likely to hold ministerial posts or formal support roles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volume
$7,978
Date de fin
31 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s 13 September 2026 general election will determine the next government after the current Tidö-supported minority cabinet of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats. Recent polls show the centre-left opposition bloc (led by Social Democrats together with Left and Green parties, and potentially the Centre Party) holding a narrow lead of roughly 50–54 percent against 43–47 percent for the incumbent right-wing grouping, with the Social Democrats remaining the largest single party. Security, crime and economic issues dominate the campaign. Post-election government formation typically requires cross-party negotiations because no bloc commands an outright majority in the 349-seat Riksdag, and historical patterns of minority or coalition arrangements continue to shape trader assessments of which parties are likely to hold ministerial posts or formal support roles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volume
$7,978
Date de fin
31 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Connexes

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Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?

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Oui
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Questions fréquentes

« Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) » à 91%, suivi de « Green Party (MP) » à 83%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 91¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 91% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 19, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » est « Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) » à 91%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 91% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Green Party (MP) » à 83%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.