Micah Lasher’s commanding lead in the NY-12 Democratic primary reflects recent polling gains among the district’s older voters—who are projected to comprise 65-75% of the June 23 electorate—combined with his extensive state legislative record and endorsements from figures such as Michael Bloomberg. Assemblymember Alex Bores trails as the main challenger, drawing support for his focus on artificial intelligence regulation and tech-sector backing, though he has not closed the gap in head-to-head surveys. A crowded field featuring Jack Schlossberg, George Conway, and others remains fragmented at negligible levels, with a recent five-candidate debate highlighting contrasts over experience, outside spending, and policy priorities. The primary’s proximity has consolidated trader consensus around the two frontrunners amid stable voter preferences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMicah Lasher 100.0%
Jack Schlossberg <1%
Alex Bores <1%
Erik Bottcher <1%
$852,223 Vol.
$852,223 Vol.
Jack Schlossberg
Non
Alex Bores
Non
Erik Bottcher
Non
Carolyn Maloney
Non
Andrew Cuomo
Non
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
Non
Keith Powers
Non
Gale Brewer
Non
Brad Lander
Non
Micah Lasher
Oui
Cameron Kasky
Non
Lina Khan
Non
Julie Menin
Non
Chelsea Clinton
Non
Liam Elkind
Non
Scott Stringer
Non
Liz Krueger
Non
Cynthia Nixon
Non
George Conway
Non
Micah Lasher 100.0%
Jack Schlossberg <1%
Alex Bores <1%
Erik Bottcher <1%
$852,223 Vol.
$852,223 Vol.
Jack Schlossberg
Non
Alex Bores
Non
Erik Bottcher
Non
Carolyn Maloney
Non
Andrew Cuomo
Non
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
Non
Keith Powers
Non
Gale Brewer
Non
Brad Lander
Non
Micah Lasher
Oui
Cameron Kasky
Non
Lina Khan
Non
Julie Menin
Non
Chelsea Clinton
Non
Liam Elkind
Non
Scott Stringer
Non
Liz Krueger
Non
Cynthia Nixon
Non
George Conway
Non
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Micah Lasher’s commanding lead in the NY-12 Democratic primary reflects recent polling gains among the district’s older voters—who are projected to comprise 65-75% of the June 23 electorate—combined with his extensive state legislative record and endorsements from figures such as Michael Bloomberg. Assemblymember Alex Bores trails as the main challenger, drawing support for his focus on artificial intelligence regulation and tech-sector backing, though he has not closed the gap in head-to-head surveys. A crowded field featuring Jack Schlossberg, George Conway, and others remains fragmented at negligible levels, with a recent five-candidate debate highlighting contrasts over experience, outside spending, and policy priorities. The primary’s proximity has consolidated trader consensus around the two frontrunners amid stable voter preferences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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