Market icon

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Market icon

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Stephen Miller 50%

Howard Lutnick 50%

Linda McMahon 50%

Donald Trump 50%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Stephen Miller 50%

Howard Lutnick 50%

Linda McMahon 50%

Donald Trump 50%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Stephen Miller

$0 Vol.

50%

Howard Lutnick

$0 Vol.

50%

Linda McMahon

$0 Vol.

50%

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

50%

Anna Kelly

$0 Vol.

50%

Taylor Rogers

$0 Vol.

50%

Tom Homan

$0 Vol.

50%

Scott Bessent

$0 Vol.

49%

Brooke Rollins

$0 Vol.

49%

Susie Wiles

$0 Vol.

49%

Liz Huston

$0 Vol.

49%

Abigail Jackson

$0 Vol.

49%

Pamela Bondi

$0 Vol.

49%

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

48%

Peter Hegseth

$0 Vol.

26%

Erika Kirk

$0 Vol.

26%

JD Vance

$0 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Anticipation of White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's maternity leave in May, as she awaits her second child, drives trader consensus in this market, with no prior substitutes named since her January 2025 start. Odds remain tightly clustered at 49.5% across deputies like Principal Deputy Anna Kelly, Assistant Press Secretaries Taylor Rogers and Liz Huston, alongside senior allies including Marco Rubio, Stephen Miller, Susie Wiles, and JD Vance, reflecting the administration's silence on preferences and President Trump's history of unpredictable personnel choices for short-term roles. Recent speculation, including reports positioning Kelly as a frontrunner due to her communications experience, has yet to shift sentiment amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. An official announcement or her first absence could quickly separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Anticipation of White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's maternity leave in May, as she awaits her second child, drives trader consensus in this market, with no prior substitutes named since her January 2025 start. Odds remain tightly clustered at 49.5% across deputies like Principal Deputy Anna Kelly, Assistant Press Secretaries Taylor Rogers and Liz Huston, alongside senior allies including Marco Rubio, Stephen Miller, Susie Wiles, and JD Vance, reflecting the administration's silence on preferences and President Trump's history of unpredictable personnel choices for short-term roles. Recent speculation, including reports positioning Kelly as a frontrunner due to her communications experience, has yet to shift sentiment amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. An official announcement or her first absence could quickly separate frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.

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Questions fréquentes

« Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Stephen Miller » à 50%, suivi de « Howard Lutnick » à 50%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary? », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary? » est « Stephen Miller » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Howard Lutnick » à 50%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.