President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, following criticism over slow prosecutions and Epstein file handling, has traders pricing Lee Zeldin as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability for the next announcement, buoyed by reports of his consideration and prior Senate confirmation as EPA Administrator, enabling a potential acting AG role without a new vote. Ted Cruz trails closely at 46.5%, bolstered by his Senate seniority and Trump loyalty, while Eric Schmitt holds 42% on his Missouri Attorney General and senatorial experience. The tight contest among these allies reflects ongoing White House deliberations amid narrow Senate margins, with no nominee named; a direct Trump endorsement, VP Vance input, or procedural shifts like recess appointment could widen leads before the June 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEric Schmitt 84%
Lee Zeldin 54%
Todd Blanche 28%
Ken Paxton 6.3%
$95,285 Vol.
$95,285 Vol.

Eric Schmitt
84%

Lee Zeldin
54%

Todd Blanche
28%

Ken Paxton
6%

Aucune annonce d'ici le 30 juin
4%

Jeanine Pirro
3%

Mike Lee
1%

Jay Clayton
1%

Jeff Clark
1%

Ron DeSantis
<1%

Harmeet Dhillon
<1%

Matt Gaetz
<1%

Ted Cruz
-
Eric Schmitt 84%
Lee Zeldin 54%
Todd Blanche 28%
Ken Paxton 6.3%
$95,285 Vol.
$95,285 Vol.

Eric Schmitt
84%

Lee Zeldin
54%

Todd Blanche
28%

Ken Paxton
6%

Aucune annonce d'ici le 30 juin
4%

Jeanine Pirro
3%

Mike Lee
1%

Jay Clayton
1%

Jeff Clark
1%

Ron DeSantis
<1%

Harmeet Dhillon
<1%

Matt Gaetz
<1%

Ted Cruz
-
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, following criticism over slow prosecutions and Epstein file handling, has traders pricing Lee Zeldin as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability for the next announcement, buoyed by reports of his consideration and prior Senate confirmation as EPA Administrator, enabling a potential acting AG role without a new vote. Ted Cruz trails closely at 46.5%, bolstered by his Senate seniority and Trump loyalty, while Eric Schmitt holds 42% on his Missouri Attorney General and senatorial experience. The tight contest among these allies reflects ongoing White House deliberations amid narrow Senate margins, with no nominee named; a direct Trump endorsement, VP Vance input, or procedural shifts like recess appointment could widen leads before the June 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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