Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating near 39% on April 10, reflecting late-March polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin at roughly 40% approve amid a net -17 rating, with recent surveys from UMass (33%), Fox News (41%), Quinnipiac (38%), and others clustering in the upper 30s. This tight clustering stems from steady erosion tied to public disapproval of his handling of the escalating Iran war, inflation pressures from tariffs, higher gas prices, and a partial government shutdown, eroding support even among 2024 voters. The race remains close due to minimal volatility in daily trackers like YouGov (39.6% as of March 30) and no major scheduled events before resolution; separation could arise from fresh economic data releases, diplomatic breakthroughs on Iran, or White House announcements on immigration or jobs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour39.0–39.4 31%
38.5–38.9 29%
40.0–40.4 27%
<38.5 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 avr. 2026
<38.5
14%
38.5–38.9
29%
39.0–39.4
31%
39.5–39.9
39%
40.0–40.4
27%
40.5+
6%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.5–38.9 29%
40.0–40.4 27%
<38.5 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 avr. 2026
<38.5
$180 Vol.
14%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
29%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
31%
39.5–39.9
$163 Vol.
39%
40.0–40.4
$0 Vol.
27%
40.5+
$494 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating near 39% on April 10, reflecting late-March polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin at roughly 40% approve amid a net -17 rating, with recent surveys from UMass (33%), Fox News (41%), Quinnipiac (38%), and others clustering in the upper 30s. This tight clustering stems from steady erosion tied to public disapproval of his handling of the escalating Iran war, inflation pressures from tariffs, higher gas prices, and a partial government shutdown, eroding support even among 2024 voters. The race remains close due to minimal volatility in daily trackers like YouGov (39.6% as of March 30) and no major scheduled events before resolution; separation could arise from fresh economic data releases, diplomatic breakthroughs on Iran, or White House announcements on immigration or jobs.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$343Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating near 39% on April 10, reflecting late-March polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin at roughly 40% approve amid a net -17 rating, with recent surveys from UMass (33%), Fox News (41%), Quinnipiac (38%), and others clustering in the upper 30s. This tight clustering stems from steady erosion tied to public disapproval of his handling of the escalating Iran war, inflation pressures from tariffs, higher gas prices, and a partial government shutdown, eroding support even among 2024 voters. The race remains close due to minimal volatility in daily trackers like YouGov (39.6% as of March 30) and no major scheduled events before resolution; separation could arise from fresh economic data releases, diplomatic breakthroughs on Iran, or White House announcements on immigration or jobs.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$343Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating near 39% on April 10, reflecting late-March polling averages like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin at roughly 40% approve amid a net -17 rating, with recent surveys from UMass (33%), Fox News (41%), Quinnipiac (38%), and others clustering in the upper 30s. This tight clustering stems from steady erosion tied to public disapproval of his handling of the escalating Iran war, inflation pressures from tariffs, higher gas prices, and a partial government shutdown, eroding support even among 2024 voters. The race remains close due to minimal volatility in daily trackers like YouGov (39.6% as of March 30) and no major scheduled events before resolution; separation could arise from fresh economic data releases, diplomatic breakthroughs on Iran, or White House announcements on immigration or jobs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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