Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal negotiations, provincial consent, and Indigenous treaty rights, alongside U.S. congressional approval for statehood—a process unprecedented for a foreign province. Recent separatist momentum, including the Alberta Prosperity Project's March 31 claim of surpassing referendum signatures and meetings with Trump administration figures like Scott Bessent, has stalled: an Edmonton judge issued a temporary injunction on April 10 halting petition verification amid First Nations lawsuits asserting treaty violations. Polls indicate only about 20% support separation, let alone U.S. accession, with Canadian officials and analyses emphasizing illegality and economic harm. Shifts would demand improbable breakthroughs like a successful referendum, Ottawa's secession approval, and U.S. legislative action before any market resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal negotiations, provincial consent, and Indigenous treaty rights, alongside U.S. congressional approval for statehood—a process unprecedented for a foreign province. Recent separatist momentum, including the Alberta Prosperity Project's March 31 claim of surpassing referendum signatures and meetings with Trump administration figures like Scott Bessent, has stalled: an Edmonton judge issued a temporary injunction on April 10 halting petition verification amid First Nations lawsuits asserting treaty violations. Polls indicate only about 20% support separation, let alone U.S. accession, with Canadian officials and analyses emphasizing illegality and economic harm. Shifts would demand improbable breakthroughs like a successful referendum, Ottawa's secession approval, and U.S. legislative action before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,516Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal negotiations, provincial consent, and Indigenous treaty rights, alongside U.S. congressional approval for statehood—a process unprecedented for a foreign province. Recent separatist momentum, including the Alberta Prosperity Project's March 31 claim of surpassing referendum signatures and meetings with Trump administration figures like Scott Bessent, has stalled: an Edmonton judge issued a temporary injunction on April 10 halting petition verification amid First Nations lawsuits asserting treaty violations. Polls indicate only about 20% support separation, let alone U.S. accession, with Canadian officials and analyses emphasizing illegality and economic harm. Shifts would demand improbable breakthroughs like a successful referendum, Ottawa's secession approval, and U.S. legislative action before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$3,516Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal negotiations, provincial consent, and Indigenous treaty rights, alongside U.S. congressional approval for statehood—a process unprecedented for a foreign province. Recent separatist momentum, including the Alberta Prosperity Project's March 31 claim of surpassing referendum signatures and meetings with Trump administration figures like Scott Bessent, has stalled: an Edmonton judge issued a temporary injunction on April 10 halting petition verification amid First Nations lawsuits asserting treaty violations. Polls indicate only about 20% support separation, let alone U.S. accession, with Canadian officials and analyses emphasizing illegality and economic harm. Shifts would demand improbable breakthroughs like a successful referendum, Ottawa's secession approval, and U.S. legislative action before any market resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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