Recent polling consistently shows only 19-25% support among Albertans for advancing the October 19, 2026, referendum question that would authorize steps toward a binding independence vote, with 65-72% favoring remaining a province of Canada. Multiple surveys from Ipsos, Leger, Angus Reid, and others since May document this decline from earlier 2026 peaks near 28-35%. Court rulings have blocked separatist petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while Premier Danielle Smith has framed the process as strengthening provincial sovereignty inside Canada and stated her personal preference to stay. These factors have reinforced trader expectations that no independence referendum will pass by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$254,298 Vol.
$254,298 Vol.
Oui
$254,298 Vol.
$254,298 Vol.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling consistently shows only 19-25% support among Albertans for advancing the October 19, 2026, referendum question that would authorize steps toward a binding independence vote, with 65-72% favoring remaining a province of Canada. Multiple surveys from Ipsos, Leger, Angus Reid, and others since May document this decline from earlier 2026 peaks near 28-35%. Court rulings have blocked separatist petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while Premier Danielle Smith has framed the process as strengthening provincial sovereignty inside Canada and stated her personal preference to stay. These factors have reinforced trader expectations that no independence referendum will pass by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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