Apple's consistent annual flagship cycle and multiple supply-chain reports confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, along with a new foldable, are on track for a September 2026 announcement and release, aligning with historical patterns around early-September keynotes and mid-September availability. This planned split rollout—premium variants first, base models potentially shifted to spring 2027—underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, reflecting trader confidence in Apple's execution on silicon, camera, and form-factor upgrades. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory delays in key markets, or unforeseen technical setbacks could theoretically push timelines, Apple's track record and current production signals make such outcomes low-probability events for traders assessing near-term resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$116,501 Vol.
$116,501 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$116,501 Vol.
$116,501 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual flagship cycle and multiple supply-chain reports confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, along with a new foldable, are on track for a September 2026 announcement and release, aligning with historical patterns around early-September keynotes and mid-September availability. This planned split rollout—premium variants first, base models potentially shifted to spring 2027—underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, reflecting trader confidence in Apple's execution on silicon, camera, and form-factor upgrades. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory delays in key markets, or unforeseen technical setbacks could theoretically push timelines, Apple's track record and current production signals make such outcomes low-probability events for traders assessing near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$116,501Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual flagship cycle and multiple supply-chain reports confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, along with a new foldable, are on track for a September 2026 announcement and release, aligning with historical patterns around early-September keynotes and mid-September availability. This planned split rollout—premium variants first, base models potentially shifted to spring 2027—underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, reflecting trader confidence in Apple's execution on silicon, camera, and form-factor upgrades. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory delays in key markets, or unforeseen technical setbacks could theoretically push timelines, Apple's track record and current production signals make such outcomes low-probability events for traders assessing near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$116,501Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual flagship cycle and multiple supply-chain reports confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models, along with a new foldable, are on track for a September 2026 announcement and release, aligning with historical patterns around early-September keynotes and mid-September availability. This planned split rollout—premium variants first, base models potentially shifted to spring 2027—underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, reflecting trader confidence in Apple's execution on silicon, camera, and form-factor upgrades. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory delays in key markets, or unforeseen technical setbacks could theoretically push timelines, Apple's track record and current production signals make such outcomes low-probability events for traders assessing near-term resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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