Apple's consistent annual iPhone cycle, reinforced by WWDC 2026 timing and supplier reports, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach market in 2026. Recent coverage confirms the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable variant remain on track for a September keynote and launch, aligning with historical patterns of fall releases despite a planned split that defers base models like the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027. This staggered approach reflects supply-chain and engineering adjustments rather than cancellation. Realistic risks such as component shortages, regulatory delays in key markets, or last-minute design shifts could push individual variants, yet the core premium lineup's momentum makes a complete 2026 absence improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$116,501 Vol.
$116,501 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$116,501 Vol.
$116,501 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual iPhone cycle, reinforced by WWDC 2026 timing and supplier reports, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach market in 2026. Recent coverage confirms the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable variant remain on track for a September keynote and launch, aligning with historical patterns of fall releases despite a planned split that defers base models like the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027. This staggered approach reflects supply-chain and engineering adjustments rather than cancellation. Realistic risks such as component shortages, regulatory delays in key markets, or last-minute design shifts could push individual variants, yet the core premium lineup's momentum makes a complete 2026 absence improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$116,501Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual iPhone cycle, reinforced by WWDC 2026 timing and supplier reports, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach market in 2026. Recent coverage confirms the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable variant remain on track for a September keynote and launch, aligning with historical patterns of fall releases despite a planned split that defers base models like the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027. This staggered approach reflects supply-chain and engineering adjustments rather than cancellation. Realistic risks such as component shortages, regulatory delays in key markets, or last-minute design shifts could push individual variants, yet the core premium lineup's momentum makes a complete 2026 absence improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$116,501Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual iPhone cycle, reinforced by WWDC 2026 timing and supplier reports, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach market in 2026. Recent coverage confirms the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable variant remain on track for a September keynote and launch, aligning with historical patterns of fall releases despite a planned split that defers base models like the standard iPhone 18 to early 2027. This staggered approach reflects supply-chain and engineering adjustments rather than cancellation. Realistic risks such as component shortages, regulatory delays in key markets, or last-minute design shifts could push individual variants, yet the core premium lineup's momentum makes a complete 2026 absence improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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