**Russia's exclusion from the G7 since its 2014 suspension and 2022 escalation in Ukraine remains firmly in place, with all member states requiring unanimous consent for any readmission.** European leaders, including Germany's chancellor and France's president, have repeatedly rejected the idea absent major Russian concessions on Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, as reaffirmed in joint statements and sanctions expansions through the June 2026 Evian summit. Russian President Vladimir Putin has explicitly ruled out interest in returning, citing the G7's declining global economic share and favoring BRICS and G20 platforms instead, including in recent September 2026 remarks at the BRICS summit. Although U.S. President Trump has advocated readmission, this has not overcome the consensus opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with a negotiated Ukraine settlement or abrupt leadership shifts among members as the main variables that could still influence probabilities before the December 2026 resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
2% chance
$53,561 Vol.
$53,561 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
2% chance
$53,561 Vol.
$53,561 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Russia's exclusion from the G7 since its 2014 suspension and 2022 escalation in Ukraine remains firmly in place, with all member states requiring unanimous consent for any readmission.** European leaders, including Germany's chancellor and France's president, have repeatedly rejected the idea absent major Russian concessions on Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, as reaffirmed in joint statements and sanctions expansions through the June 2026 Evian summit. Russian President Vladimir Putin has explicitly ruled out interest in returning, citing the G7's declining global economic share and favoring BRICS and G20 platforms instead, including in recent September 2026 remarks at the BRICS summit. Although U.S. President Trump has advocated readmission, this has not overcome the consensus opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with a negotiated Ukraine settlement or abrupt leadership shifts among members as the main variables that could still influence probabilities before the December 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Volume
$53,561Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Russia's exclusion from the G7 since its 2014 suspension and 2022 escalation in Ukraine remains firmly in place, with all member states requiring unanimous consent for any readmission.** European leaders, including Germany's chancellor and France's president, have repeatedly rejected the idea absent major Russian concessions on Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, as reaffirmed in joint statements and sanctions expansions through the June 2026 Evian summit. Russian President Vladimir Putin has explicitly ruled out interest in returning, citing the G7's declining global economic share and favoring BRICS and G20 platforms instead, including in recent September 2026 remarks at the BRICS summit. Although U.S. President Trump has advocated readmission, this has not overcome the consensus opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with a negotiated Ukraine settlement or abrupt leadership shifts among members as the main variables that could still influence probabilities before the December 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$53,561Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Russia's exclusion from the G7 since its 2014 suspension and 2022 escalation in Ukraine remains firmly in place, with all member states requiring unanimous consent for any readmission.** European leaders, including Germany's chancellor and France's president, have repeatedly rejected the idea absent major Russian concessions on Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, as reaffirmed in joint statements and sanctions expansions through the June 2026 Evian summit. Russian President Vladimir Putin has explicitly ruled out interest in returning, citing the G7's declining global economic share and favoring BRICS and G20 platforms instead, including in recent September 2026 remarks at the BRICS summit. Although U.S. President Trump has advocated readmission, this has not overcome the consensus opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, with a negotiated Ukraine settlement or abrupt leadership shifts among members as the main variables that could still influence probabilities before the December 2026 resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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