In Brazil's Bahia state Senate race for two Federal seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where PT ex-governors Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner hold the top polling positions, leaving second place highly contested among challengers including Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), João Roma (PL), Carlos Sodré, Gregorio Gould (UP), and several others. Late-July Genial/Quaest surveys show these opposition candidates clustered in single digits amid 22-24% undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight implied probabilities near 25% for multiple contenders. Recent candidacy registrations and coalition announcements have not yet produced clear separation, with voter preference data indicating that turnout dynamics, rejection rates for established figures, and last-minute campaign momentum could determine which candidate secures the remaining seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबहिया सीनेट चुनाव: दूसरा स्थान
बहिया सीनेट चुनाव: दूसरा स्थान
Rui Costa 26%
Gregorio Gould 25%
Jaques Wagner 25%
João Roma 25%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
Rui Costa
26%
Gregorio Gould
25%
Jaques Wagner
25%
João Roma
25%
Marcelo Millet
24%
Marcelo Santtana
24%
Angelo Coronel
24%
Carlos Sodré
24%
Marcelo Carvalho
22%
Professora Delliana
22%
Rui Costa 26%
Gregorio Gould 25%
Jaques Wagner 25%
João Roma 25%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
Rui Costa
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Gregorio Gould
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
Jaques Wagner
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
João Roma
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
Marcelo Millet
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
Marcelo Santtana
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
Angelo Coronel
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
Carlos Sodré
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
Marcelo Carvalho
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
Professora Delliana
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Bahia state Senate race for two Federal seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where PT ex-governors Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner hold the top polling positions, leaving second place highly contested among challengers including Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), João Roma (PL), Carlos Sodré, Gregorio Gould (UP), and several others. Late-July Genial/Quaest surveys show these opposition candidates clustered in single digits amid 22-24% undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight implied probabilities near 25% for multiple contenders. Recent candidacy registrations and coalition announcements have not yet produced clear separation, with voter preference data indicating that turnout dynamics, rejection rates for established figures, and last-minute campaign momentum could determine which candidate secures the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Bahia state Senate race for two Federal seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where PT ex-governors Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner hold the top polling positions, leaving second place highly contested among challengers including Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), João Roma (PL), Carlos Sodré, Gregorio Gould (UP), and several others. Late-July Genial/Quaest surveys show these opposition candidates clustered in single digits amid 22-24% undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight implied probabilities near 25% for multiple contenders. Recent candidacy registrations and coalition announcements have not yet produced clear separation, with voter preference data indicating that turnout dynamics, rejection rates for established figures, and last-minute campaign momentum could determine which candidate secures the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil's Bahia state Senate race for two Federal seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where PT ex-governors Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner hold the top polling positions, leaving second place highly contested among challengers including Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), João Roma (PL), Carlos Sodré, Gregorio Gould (UP), and several others. Late-July Genial/Quaest surveys show these opposition candidates clustered in single digits amid 22-24% undecided and blank/null responses, sustaining tight implied probabilities near 25% for multiple contenders. Recent candidacy registrations and coalition announcements have not yet produced clear separation, with voter preference data indicating that turnout dynamics, rejection rates for established figures, and last-minute campaign momentum could determine which candidate secures the remaining seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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