Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1160-1279 posts for Elon Musk's qualifying X activity (main feed originals, quotes, and reposts; replies excluded unless prominent) in April 2026, with 1240-1279 leading at 14.6% implied probability amid a first-half pace averaging ~40 per day per trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com. Recent volatility—78 posts April 12-13 during South Africa Starlink-BEE disputes, dipping to 22 the next day, then 45 April 14-15—fuels the narrow spread across top bins, as ongoing cultural clashes over racism allegations, immigration policy, and platform engagement keep volumes unpredictable. With 14 days left, catalysts like Tesla earnings or political flare-ups could swing totals 100+ posts, heightening the deadlock among frontrunners.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1240-1279 15.6%
1160-1199 13.0%
1200-1239 12.9%
1280-1319 11.4%
$7,877,461 वॉल्यूम
$7,877,461 वॉल्यूम
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
9%
1040-1079
5%
१०८०-१११९
4%
1120-1159
9%
1160-1199
13%
1200-1239
13%
1240-1279
16%
1280-1319
11%
1320-1359
7%
1360-1399
5%
1400-1439
2%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1240-1279 15.6%
1160-1199 13.0%
1200-1239 12.9%
1280-1319 11.4%
$7,877,461 वॉल्यूम
$7,877,461 वॉल्यूम
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
9%
1040-1079
5%
१०८०-१११९
4%
1120-1159
9%
1160-1199
13%
1200-1239
13%
1240-1279
16%
1280-1319
11%
1320-1359
7%
1360-1399
5%
1400-1439
2%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1160-1279 posts for Elon Musk's qualifying X activity (main feed originals, quotes, and reposts; replies excluded unless prominent) in April 2026, with 1240-1279 leading at 14.6% implied probability amid a first-half pace averaging ~40 per day per trackers like xtracker.polymarket.com. Recent volatility—78 posts April 12-13 during South Africa Starlink-BEE disputes, dipping to 22 the next day, then 45 April 14-15—fuels the narrow spread across top bins, as ongoing cultural clashes over racism allegations, immigration policy, and platform engagement keep volumes unpredictable. With 14 days left, catalysts like Tesla earnings or political flare-ups could swing totals 100+ posts, heightening the deadlock among frontrunners.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न