The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th Congressional District, with its consistent partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s death. The July 28 first-round results advanced two Democratic candidates to the August 25 runoff while Republican contenders combined for under 14 percent, confirming limited opposition support. With the contest now limited to Democratic contenders in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, the implied probability reflects the structural barrier to a Republican outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise only from unforeseen developments such as extremely depressed turnout or a late disqualifying event, though neither appears imminent ahead of the runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGA -13 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
GA -13 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$39,394 वॉल्यूम
$39,394 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$39,394 वॉल्यूम
$39,394 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,958 वॉल्यूम
96%
Republican Party
$19,436 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th Congressional District, with its consistent partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s death. The July 28 first-round results advanced two Democratic candidates to the August 25 runoff while Republican contenders combined for under 14 percent, confirming limited opposition support. With the contest now limited to Democratic contenders in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, the implied probability reflects the structural barrier to a Republican outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise only from unforeseen developments such as extremely depressed turnout or a late disqualifying event, though neither appears imminent ahead of the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,394समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th Congressional District, with its consistent partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s death. The July 28 first-round results advanced two Democratic candidates to the August 25 runoff while Republican contenders combined for under 14 percent, confirming limited opposition support. With the contest now limited to Democratic contenders in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, the implied probability reflects the structural barrier to a Republican outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise only from unforeseen developments such as extremely depressed turnout or a late disqualifying event, though neither appears imminent ahead of the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$39,394समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic character of Georgia’s 13th Congressional District, with its consistent partisan lean and history of large Democratic margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the special election to fill the vacancy created by Rep. David Scott’s death. The July 28 first-round results advanced two Democratic candidates to the August 25 runoff while Republican contenders combined for under 14 percent, confirming limited opposition support. With the contest now limited to Democratic contenders in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, the implied probability reflects the structural barrier to a Republican outcome. Low-probability shifts could arise only from unforeseen developments such as extremely depressed turnout or a late disqualifying event, though neither appears imminent ahead of the runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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