Recent leaks spotting Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app's model selector—first reported May 5—have driven trader consensus toward a mid-May release, with May 19 commanding 35.5% implied probability as Google I/O kicks off that day, historically a venue for major AI announcements like Gemini 3's November 2025 debut. Subsequent dates like May 15 (16.5%) and May 14 (13%) reflect optimism for a pre-I/O rollout, bolstered by unofficial reports of deep Chrome integration and improved tool calling to challenge GPT-5.5 and Claude Opus rivals. While Google often ships updates quietly without fanfare, as with recent Flash variants, the absence of official confirmation keeps "No release by May 31" viable at 9.5%; watch I/O keynotes for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMay 19 32%
May 27 11%
May 11 10%
May 20 10%
नया
$28,740 वॉल्यूम
नया
$28,740 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
On or prior to May 6
<1%
May 7
5%
May 8
13%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
10%
May 12
12%
May 13
7%
May 14
17%
May 15
8%
May 16
1%
May 17
1%
May 18
6%
May 19
32%
May 20
10%
May 21
6%
May 22
3%
May 23
<1%
May 24
3%
May 25
3%
May 26
2%
May 27
11%
May 28
2%
May 29
2%
May 30
<1%
May 31
<1%
No release by May 31
10%
May 19 32%
May 27 11%
May 11 10%
May 20 10%
नया
$28,740 वॉल्यूम
नया
$28,740 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
On or prior to May 6
$1,422 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 7
$461 वॉल्यूम
5%
May 8
$401 वॉल्यूम
13%
May 9
$2,463 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 10
$2,463 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 11
$457 वॉल्यूम
10%
May 12
$417 वॉल्यूम
12%
May 13
$439 वॉल्यूम
7%
May 14
$417 वॉल्यूम
17%
May 15
$417 वॉल्यूम
8%
May 16
$2,503 वॉल्यूम
1%
May 17
$2,512 वॉल्यूम
1%
May 18
$417 वॉल्यूम
6%
May 19
$579 वॉल्यूम
32%
May 20
$501 वॉल्यूम
10%
May 21
$457 वॉल्यूम
6%
May 22
$417 वॉल्यूम
3%
May 23
$2,483 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 24
$1,542 वॉल्यूम
3%
May 25
$427 वॉल्यूम
3%
May 26
$457 वॉल्यूम
2%
May 27
$477 वॉल्यूम
11%
May 28
$442 वॉल्यूम
2%
May 29
$437 वॉल्यूम
2%
May 30
$2,803 वॉल्यूम
<1%
May 31
$2,523 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No release by May 31
$422 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks spotting Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app's model selector—first reported May 5—have driven trader consensus toward a mid-May release, with May 19 commanding 35.5% implied probability as Google I/O kicks off that day, historically a venue for major AI announcements like Gemini 3's November 2025 debut. Subsequent dates like May 15 (16.5%) and May 14 (13%) reflect optimism for a pre-I/O rollout, bolstered by unofficial reports of deep Chrome integration and improved tool calling to challenge GPT-5.5 and Claude Opus rivals. While Google often ships updates quietly without fanfare, as with recent Flash variants, the absence of official confirmation keeps "No release by May 31" viable at 9.5%; watch I/O keynotes for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,740समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks spotting Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app's model selector—first reported May 5—have driven trader consensus toward a mid-May release, with May 19 commanding 35.5% implied probability as Google I/O kicks off that day, historically a venue for major AI announcements like Gemini 3's November 2025 debut. Subsequent dates like May 15 (16.5%) and May 14 (13%) reflect optimism for a pre-I/O rollout, bolstered by unofficial reports of deep Chrome integration and improved tool calling to challenge GPT-5.5 and Claude Opus rivals. While Google often ships updates quietly without fanfare, as with recent Flash variants, the absence of official confirmation keeps "No release by May 31" viable at 9.5%; watch I/O keynotes for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$28,740समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks spotting Gemini 3.2 Flash in the Gemini app's model selector—first reported May 5—have driven trader consensus toward a mid-May release, with May 19 commanding 35.5% implied probability as Google I/O kicks off that day, historically a venue for major AI announcements like Gemini 3's November 2025 debut. Subsequent dates like May 15 (16.5%) and May 14 (13%) reflect optimism for a pre-I/O rollout, bolstered by unofficial reports of deep Chrome integration and improved tool calling to challenge GPT-5.5 and Claude Opus rivals. While Google often ships updates quietly without fanfare, as with recent Flash variants, the absence of official confirmation keeps "No release by May 31" viable at 9.5%; watch I/O keynotes for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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