Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has surged to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score of 1502, eclipsing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro in head-to-head human evaluations, driving trader consensus to a 77% implied probability of retaining the best AI model by May 31. This follows Anthropic's explosive Q1 2026 roadmap, including the February launch of Opus 4.6—a major capability leap—and recent demos like identifying thousands of zero-day vulnerabilities across major OSes and browsers on April 7, plus extended 30-hour autonomous operation. Google holds 16% as a close second amid competitive Gemini updates, while OpenAI and xAI trail due to delayed next-gen releases like GPT-5.5 or Grok-3; watch for pre-May announcements that could shift dynamics, as AI benchmarks evolve rapidly with new model drops.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 77%
Google 16%
OpenAI 5%
एक्सएआई 3.5%
नया
$19,524 वॉल्यूम
नया
$19,524 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
77%
16%
OpenAI
5%
एक्सएआई
3%
अमेज़न
3%
DeepSeek
2%
मेटा
1%
ByteDance
<1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
मूनशॉट
<1%
बाइडू
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
मिस्टाल
<1%
Anthropic 77%
Google 16%
OpenAI 5%
एक्सएआई 3.5%
नया
$19,524 वॉल्यूम
नया
$19,524 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
$2,128 वॉल्यूम
77%
$1,321 वॉल्यूम
16%
OpenAI
$1,443 वॉल्यूम
5%
एक्सएआई
$1,439 वॉल्यूम
3%
अमेज़न
$1,191 वॉल्यूम
3%
DeepSeek
$1,258 वॉल्यूम
2%
मेटा
$1,134 वॉल्यूम
1%
ByteDance
$1,206 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अलीबाबा
$1,206 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मूनशॉट
$1,206 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइडू
$1,348 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$1,206 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$1,486 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$1,143 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्टाल
$808 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has surged to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score of 1502, eclipsing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro in head-to-head human evaluations, driving trader consensus to a 77% implied probability of retaining the best AI model by May 31. This follows Anthropic's explosive Q1 2026 roadmap, including the February launch of Opus 4.6—a major capability leap—and recent demos like identifying thousands of zero-day vulnerabilities across major OSes and browsers on April 7, plus extended 30-hour autonomous operation. Google holds 16% as a close second amid competitive Gemini updates, while OpenAI and xAI trail due to delayed next-gen releases like GPT-5.5 or Grok-3; watch for pre-May announcements that could shift dynamics, as AI benchmarks evolve rapidly with new model drops.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,524समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has surged to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score of 1502, eclipsing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro in head-to-head human evaluations, driving trader consensus to a 77% implied probability of retaining the best AI model by May 31. This follows Anthropic's explosive Q1 2026 roadmap, including the February launch of Opus 4.6—a major capability leap—and recent demos like identifying thousands of zero-day vulnerabilities across major OSes and browsers on April 7, plus extended 30-hour autonomous operation. Google holds 16% as a close second amid competitive Gemini updates, while OpenAI and xAI trail due to delayed next-gen releases like GPT-5.5 or Grok-3; watch for pre-May announcements that could shift dynamics, as AI benchmarks evolve rapidly with new model drops.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$19,524समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 has surged to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score of 1502, eclipsing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro in head-to-head human evaluations, driving trader consensus to a 77% implied probability of retaining the best AI model by May 31. This follows Anthropic's explosive Q1 2026 roadmap, including the February launch of Opus 4.6—a major capability leap—and recent demos like identifying thousands of zero-day vulnerabilities across major OSes and browsers on April 7, plus extended 30-hour autonomous operation. Google holds 16% as a close second amid competitive Gemini updates, while OpenAI and xAI trail due to delayed next-gen releases like GPT-5.5 or Grok-3; watch for pre-May announcements that could shift dynamics, as AI benchmarks evolve rapidly with new model drops.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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