Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30 (96% implied probability), with strong sentiment for April 30 (92%) and even April 23 (85%), reflecting leaks of completed pre-training on March 24 at the Stargate facility under codename "Spud," promising 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agent tasks over GPT-5.4. No official announcement has materialized despite internal confirmations of the GPT-5.5 name and competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and Opus 4.6 limited rollouts, prompting OpenAI's pattern of reactive timing. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer previews or earnings hints, though historical slips in AI model timelines underscore uncertainty around exact dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGPT-5.5 द्वारा जारी किया गया...?
GPT-5.5 द्वारा जारी किया गया...?
$731,993 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
17 अप्रैल
<1%
19 अप्रैल
1%
21 अप्रैल
6%
22 अप्रैल
5%
23 अप्रैल
89%
30 अप्रैल
95%
30 जून
97%
$731,993 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल
$54,373 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19 अप्रैल
$5,904 वॉल्यूम
1%
21 अप्रैल
$11,873 वॉल्यूम
6%
22 अप्रैल
$7,682 वॉल्यूम
5%
23 अप्रैल
$67,336 वॉल्यूम
89%
30 अप्रैल
$190,948 वॉल्यूम
95%
30 जून
$214,356 वॉल्यूम
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30 (96% implied probability), with strong sentiment for April 30 (92%) and even April 23 (85%), reflecting leaks of completed pre-training on March 24 at the Stargate facility under codename "Spud," promising 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agent tasks over GPT-5.4. No official announcement has materialized despite internal confirmations of the GPT-5.5 name and competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and Opus 4.6 limited rollouts, prompting OpenAI's pattern of reactive timing. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer previews or earnings hints, though historical slips in AI model timelines underscore uncertainty around exact dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$731,993बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30 (96% implied probability), with strong sentiment for April 30 (92%) and even April 23 (85%), reflecting leaks of completed pre-training on March 24 at the Stargate facility under codename "Spud," promising 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agent tasks over GPT-5.4. No official announcement has materialized despite internal confirmations of the GPT-5.5 name and competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and Opus 4.6 limited rollouts, prompting OpenAI's pattern of reactive timing. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer previews or earnings hints, though historical slips in AI model timelines underscore uncertainty around exact dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$731,993बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30 (96% implied probability), with strong sentiment for April 30 (92%) and even April 23 (85%), reflecting leaks of completed pre-training on March 24 at the Stargate facility under codename "Spud," promising 40% gains in coding, reasoning, and agent tasks over GPT-5.4. No official announcement has materialized despite internal confirmations of the GPT-5.5 name and competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and Opus 4.6 limited rollouts, prompting OpenAI's pattern of reactive timing. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer previews or earnings hints, though historical slips in AI model timelines underscore uncertainty around exact dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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