Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh leaks on April 15 from purported reliable sources pinpointing that exact date amid building hype for the "Spud" codenamed model. Pre-training wrapped on March 24 at OpenAI's Stargate facility, with executives like Sam Altman hinting at a "few weeks" timeline and Greg Brockman touting two years of research yielding superior reasoning, agentic capabilities, and multimodality—potentially 40% better than GPT-5.4 on benchmarks like HumanEval and MATH. However, repeated delays from mid-April expectations underscore uncertainty, with no official announcement and a 17.8% chance of no release by April 30; competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos adds urgency for a swift rollout to maintain leadership in AI capabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाApril 23 66%
No release by April 30 17.7%
April 30 10.4%
April 22 3.1%
$84,686 वॉल्यूम
$84,686 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
April 15
<1%
April 16
1%
April 17
1%
April 18
<1%
April 19
<1%
April 20
1%
April 21
2%
April 22
3%
April 23
66%
April 24
<1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
10%
No release by April 30
18%
April 23 66%
No release by April 30 17.7%
April 30 10.4%
April 22 3.1%
$84,686 वॉल्यूम
$84,686 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
April 15
$2,338 वॉल्यूम
<1%
April 16
$42,652 वॉल्यूम
1%
April 17
$1,237 वॉल्यूम
1%
April 18
$1,093 वॉल्यूम
<1%
April 19
$1,238 वॉल्यूम
<1%
April 20
$1,117 वॉल्यूम
1%
April 21
$1,476 वॉल्यूम
2%
April 22
$1,607 वॉल्यूम
3%
April 23
$16,906 वॉल्यूम
66%
April 24
$321 वॉल्यूम
<1%
April 25
$183 वॉल्यूम
<1%
April 26
$1,290 वॉल्यूम
1%
April 27
$1,016 वॉल्यूम
<1%
April 28
$1,062 वॉल्यूम
1%
April 29
$1,237 वॉल्यूम
<1%
April 30
$2,237 वॉल्यूम
10%
No release by April 30
$2,832 वॉल्यूम
18%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh leaks on April 15 from purported reliable sources pinpointing that exact date amid building hype for the "Spud" codenamed model. Pre-training wrapped on March 24 at OpenAI's Stargate facility, with executives like Sam Altman hinting at a "few weeks" timeline and Greg Brockman touting two years of research yielding superior reasoning, agentic capabilities, and multimodality—potentially 40% better than GPT-5.4 on benchmarks like HumanEval and MATH. However, repeated delays from mid-April expectations underscore uncertainty, with no official announcement and a 17.8% chance of no release by April 30; competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos adds urgency for a swift rollout to maintain leadership in AI capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,686समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh leaks on April 15 from purported reliable sources pinpointing that exact date amid building hype for the "Spud" codenamed model. Pre-training wrapped on March 24 at OpenAI's Stargate facility, with executives like Sam Altman hinting at a "few weeks" timeline and Greg Brockman touting two years of research yielding superior reasoning, agentic capabilities, and multimodality—potentially 40% better than GPT-5.4 on benchmarks like HumanEval and MATH. However, repeated delays from mid-April expectations underscore uncertainty, with no official announcement and a 17.8% chance of no release by April 30; competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos adds urgency for a swift rollout to maintain leadership in AI capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$84,686समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 large language model at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by fresh leaks on April 15 from purported reliable sources pinpointing that exact date amid building hype for the "Spud" codenamed model. Pre-training wrapped on March 24 at OpenAI's Stargate facility, with executives like Sam Altman hinting at a "few weeks" timeline and Greg Brockman touting two years of research yielding superior reasoning, agentic capabilities, and multimodality—potentially 40% better than GPT-5.4 on benchmarks like HumanEval and MATH. However, repeated delays from mid-April expectations underscore uncertainty, with no official announcement and a 17.8% chance of no release by April 30; competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos adds urgency for a swift rollout to maintain leadership in AI capabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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