Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at an 81% implied probability to hold the top spot on the LM Arena Chatbot Arena "Style Control On" leaderboard tomorrow, reflecting its current leading Elo score of approximately 1504 from over 13,000 human preference votes. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, surged to #1 across text, coding, and search categories in early April, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (launched February 19) at 2.9%. Despite user reports since April 8 of reduced chain-of-thought depth (down 67%) and rising hallucinations—possibly compute-saving ahead of the Mythos preview—blind arena votes remain robust. With no major releases imminent before resolution, traders anticipate leaderboard stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाclaude-opus-4-6-thinking 81.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.9%
claude-opus-4-6 1.0%
muse-spark 1.0%
$30,048 वॉल्यूम
$30,048 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
81%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
3%
claude-opus-4-6
1%
muse-spark
1%
gpt-5.4-high
1%
gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210
<1%
grok-4.20-beta1
<1%
grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning
<1%
qwen3.5-max-preview
<1%
claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k
<1%
gemini-2.5-pro
<1%
dola-seed-2.0-preview
<1%
gemini-3-pro
<1%
gemini-3-flash
<1%
kimi-k2.5-thinking
<1%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 81.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview 2.9%
claude-opus-4-6 1.0%
muse-spark 1.0%
$30,048 वॉल्यूम
$30,048 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$17,959 वॉल्यूम
81%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$242 वॉल्यूम
3%
claude-opus-4-6
$5,540 वॉल्यूम
1%
muse-spark
$234 वॉल्यूम
1%
gpt-5.4-high
$1,041 वॉल्यूम
1%
gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210
$738 वॉल्यूम
<1%
grok-4.20-beta1
$1,026 वॉल्यूम
<1%
grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning
$655 वॉल्यूम
<1%
qwen3.5-max-preview
$279 वॉल्यूम
<1%
claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k
$500 वॉल्यूम
<1%
gemini-2.5-pro
$252 वॉल्यूम
<1%
dola-seed-2.0-preview
$529 वॉल्यूम
<1%
gemini-3-pro
$435 वॉल्यूम
<1%
gemini-3-flash
$198 वॉल्यूम
<1%
kimi-k2.5-thinking
$419 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at an 81% implied probability to hold the top spot on the LM Arena Chatbot Arena "Style Control On" leaderboard tomorrow, reflecting its current leading Elo score of approximately 1504 from over 13,000 human preference votes. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, surged to #1 across text, coding, and search categories in early April, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (launched February 19) at 2.9%. Despite user reports since April 8 of reduced chain-of-thought depth (down 67%) and rising hallucinations—possibly compute-saving ahead of the Mythos preview—blind arena votes remain robust. With no major releases imminent before resolution, traders anticipate leaderboard stability.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,048समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at an 81% implied probability to hold the top spot on the LM Arena Chatbot Arena "Style Control On" leaderboard tomorrow, reflecting its current leading Elo score of approximately 1504 from over 13,000 human preference votes. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, surged to #1 across text, coding, and search categories in early April, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (launched February 19) at 2.9%. Despite user reports since April 8 of reduced chain-of-thought depth (down 67%) and rising hallucinations—possibly compute-saving ahead of the Mythos preview—blind arena votes remain robust. With no major releases imminent before resolution, traders anticipate leaderboard stability.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$30,048समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors claude-opus-4-6-thinking at an 81% implied probability to hold the top spot on the LM Arena Chatbot Arena "Style Control On" leaderboard tomorrow, reflecting its current leading Elo score of approximately 1504 from over 13,000 human preference votes. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, surged to #1 across text, coding, and search categories in early April, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (launched February 19) at 2.9%. Despite user reports since April 8 of reduced chain-of-thought depth (down 67%) and rising hallucinations—possibly compute-saving ahead of the Mythos preview—blind arena votes remain robust. With no major releases imminent before resolution, traders anticipate leaderboard stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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