Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on a peak near 103°F for Austin on August 21 under a persistent regional heat dome, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong subsidence supporting maximum surface heating. The near-even split between 102-103°F (49%) and 104-105°F (42%) reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and minor model spread on peak insolation. Clear conditions favor the upper end of guidance, while any unexpected thin cloud or slightly stronger mixing could cap readings at 102°F; historical August variability and the narrow temperature bins amplify sensitivity to these factors ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 43%
106-107°F 6%
100-101°F 5%
93°F या उससे कम
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
49%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112°F या उससे अधिक
1%
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 43%
106-107°F 6%
100-101°F 5%
93°F या उससे कम
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
49%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112°F या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on a peak near 103°F for Austin on August 21 under a persistent regional heat dome, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong subsidence supporting maximum surface heating. The near-even split between 102-103°F (49%) and 104-105°F (42%) reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and minor model spread on peak insolation. Clear conditions favor the upper end of guidance, while any unexpected thin cloud or slightly stronger mixing could cap readings at 102°F; historical August variability and the narrow temperature bins amplify sensitivity to these factors ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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