Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 25%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
25%
34°C
25%
35°C
11%
36°C या उससे अधिक
1%
33°C 25%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$2 वॉल्यूम
7%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
34°C
$71 वॉल्यूम
25%
35°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
11%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$74समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$74समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate substantial cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rain over Guangzhou on August 31, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum near or below the 33 °C seasonal average. This atmospheric setup—driven by a persistent low-level trough and northeasterly flow—explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32–34 °C. Differences among these outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shave several degrees from peak readings depending on when cloud breaks occur. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न