Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a highest temperature of 14°C (28.5% implied probability) in Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C (21.5%) and 15°C (13.5%) close behind, capturing the narrow spread in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models. These projections stem from a cool northerly air mass over the Marmara region, featuring partly cloudy skies and potential patchy rain that cap daytime heating, versus the mid-April historical average high of around 16°C. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover persistence—thicker overcast favors 13°C, while intermittent clearing or lighter winds could yield 15°C—amid recent below-average temperatures this week from persistent low-pressure influences. New 00Z model runs and MGM advisories expected within 24 hours may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
13°C 23%
14°C 22%
16°C 15%
15°C 14%
नया
नया
19 अप्रैल, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
12%
13°C
23%
14°C
22%
15°C
14%
16°C
15%
17°C
10%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
5%
13°C 23%
14°C 22%
16°C 15%
15°C 14%
नया
नया
19 अप्रैल, 2026
9°C or below
$200 वॉल्यूम
2%
10°C
$37 वॉल्यूम
2%
11°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
2%
12°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
12%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
19°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a highest temperature of 14°C (28.5% implied probability) in Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C (21.5%) and 15°C (13.5%) close behind, capturing the narrow spread in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models. These projections stem from a cool northerly air mass over the Marmara region, featuring partly cloudy skies and potential patchy rain that cap daytime heating, versus the mid-April historical average high of around 16°C. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover persistence—thicker overcast favors 13°C, while intermittent clearing or lighter winds could yield 15°C—amid recent below-average temperatures this week from persistent low-pressure influences. New 00Z model runs and MGM advisories expected within 24 hours may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$282समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a highest temperature of 14°C (28.5% implied probability) in Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C (21.5%) and 15°C (13.5%) close behind, capturing the narrow spread in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models. These projections stem from a cool northerly air mass over the Marmara region, featuring partly cloudy skies and potential patchy rain that cap daytime heating, versus the mid-April historical average high of around 16°C. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover persistence—thicker overcast favors 13°C, while intermittent clearing or lighter winds could yield 15°C—amid recent below-average temperatures this week from persistent low-pressure influences. New 00Z model runs and MGM advisories expected within 24 hours may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$282समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a highest temperature of 14°C (28.5% implied probability) in Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C (21.5%) and 15°C (13.5%) close behind, capturing the narrow spread in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) models. These projections stem from a cool northerly air mass over the Marmara region, featuring partly cloudy skies and potential patchy rain that cap daytime heating, versus the mid-April historical average high of around 16°C. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud cover persistence—thicker overcast favors 13°C, while intermittent clearing or lighter winds could yield 15°C—amid recent below-average temperatures this week from persistent low-pressure influences. New 00Z model runs and MGM advisories expected within 24 hours may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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