Persistent heatwave conditions across northern China, including Shandong province, combined with seasonal summer patterns drive the 97.4% market-implied odds for a Jinan high of 26°C or higher on August 8. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show expected maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid a prolonged event with temperatures frequently exceeding 35°C in the region. Historical August averages near 31°C further support this positioning. While forecast models exhibit some divergence on exact peaks due to steering patterns and potential cloud cover, the strong consensus leaves little room for sub-26°C outcomes unless an unseasonal cold front arrives, an event with negligible current probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को जिनान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C or higher 97.6%
24°C 1.0%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 97.6%
24°C 1.0%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across northern China, including Shandong province, combined with seasonal summer patterns drive the 97.4% market-implied odds for a Jinan high of 26°C or higher on August 8. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show expected maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid a prolonged event with temperatures frequently exceeding 35°C in the region. Historical August averages near 31°C further support this positioning. While forecast models exhibit some divergence on exact peaks due to steering patterns and potential cloud cover, the strong consensus leaves little room for sub-26°C outcomes unless an unseasonal cold front arrives, an event with negligible current probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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