Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 5 with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where highs average near 33°C yet frequently reach the mid-30s under similar synoptic patterns. The market-implied odds, led by 36°C at 54% and 35°C at 42.5%, mirror this consensus while assigning low probability to excursions above 37°C or below 34°C given the short two-day forecast horizon and absence of anomalous moisture or frontal activity in latest analyses. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings through August 4 will refine any small adjustments ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
5 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
36°C 48%
35°C 43%
34°C 8%
37°C 8%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
8%
35°C
43%
36°C
48%
37°C
8%
38°C
5%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
36°C 48%
35°C 43%
34°C 8%
37°C 8%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
31°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
33°C
$21 वॉल्यूम
5%
34°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
8%
35°C
$59 वॉल्यूम
43%
36°C
$64 वॉल्यूम
48%
37°C
$26 वॉल्यूम
8%
38°C
$18 वॉल्यूम
5%
39°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
40°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
1%
41°C or higher
$7 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 5 with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where highs average near 33°C yet frequently reach the mid-30s under similar synoptic patterns. The market-implied odds, led by 36°C at 54% and 35°C at 42.5%, mirror this consensus while assigning low probability to excursions above 37°C or below 34°C given the short two-day forecast horizon and absence of anomalous moisture or frontal activity in latest analyses. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings through August 4 will refine any small adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$234समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 5 with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where highs average near 33°C yet frequently reach the mid-30s under similar synoptic patterns. The market-implied odds, led by 36°C at 54% and 35°C at 42.5%, mirror this consensus while assigning low probability to excursions above 37°C or below 34°C given the short two-day forecast horizon and absence of anomalous moisture or frontal activity in latest analyses. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings through August 4 will refine any small adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$234समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 5 with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where highs average near 33°C yet frequently reach the mid-30s under similar synoptic patterns. The market-implied odds, led by 36°C at 54% and 35°C at 42.5%, mirror this consensus while assigning low probability to excursions above 37°C or below 34°C given the short two-day forecast horizon and absence of anomalous moisture or frontal activity in latest analyses. Updated model cycles and AEMET briefings through August 4 will refine any small adjustments ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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