Forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and the UK Met Office center a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 13, driven by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season convection. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, fueled by monsoon moisture and daytime heating, routinely limit solar insolation and cap temperatures near the August climatological average of 24–25°C. Recent model guidance shows only modest spread on the exact timing of these clouds and precipitation, which can shift the observed high by 1°C depending on whether convection initiates before or after peak heating. This scientific uncertainty in short-term convective evolution explains the tight market contest between the 26°C (40.5%) and 25°C (36.5%) outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside the narrow forecast envelope.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 14%
24°C 8%
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
37%
26°C
40%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C या उससे अधिक
1%
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 14%
24°C 8%
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
37%
26°C
40%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and the UK Met Office center a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 13, driven by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season convection. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, fueled by monsoon moisture and daytime heating, routinely limit solar insolation and cap temperatures near the August climatological average of 24–25°C. Recent model guidance shows only modest spread on the exact timing of these clouds and precipitation, which can shift the observed high by 1°C depending on whether convection initiates before or after peak heating. This scientific uncertainty in short-term convective evolution explains the tight market contest between the 26°C (40.5%) and 25°C (36.5%) outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside the narrow forecast envelope.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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