Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
5 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
26°C 49%
27°C 37%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
37%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या अधिक
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 37%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
$164 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$765 वॉल्यूम
3%
25°C
$608 वॉल्यूम
7%
26°C
$1,391 वॉल्यूम
49%
27°C
$503 वॉल्यूम
37%
28°C
$364 वॉल्यूम
9%
29°C
$256 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$360 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$416 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$587 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C या अधिक
$597 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,010समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,010समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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