Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C maximum in São Paulo on August 13 because official observations from Brazilian meteorological stations, including timeanddate records, logged a daytime peak of 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather and regional forecasts projecting 28–31°C amid warmer-than-average winter advection, exceeding the typical August climatology of 23–25°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on 30°C reflects convergence between real-time surface data and the resolution criteria tied to official high readings. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled station verification or differences between urban heat-island effects and rural reference sites used for the official record.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,458 वॉल्यूम
$30,458 वॉल्यूम
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$30,458 वॉल्यूम
$30,458 वॉल्यूम
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 30°C maximum in São Paulo on August 13 because official observations from Brazilian meteorological stations, including timeanddate records, logged a daytime peak of 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. This aligns with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather and regional forecasts projecting 28–31°C amid warmer-than-average winter advection, exceeding the typical August climatology of 23–25°C. The market’s 100% implied probability on 30°C reflects convergence between real-time surface data and the resolution criteria tied to official high readings. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled station verification or differences between urban heat-island effects and rural reference sites used for the official record.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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