**Monsoon-season dynamics and short-range variability primarily shape trader positioning for Seoul’s July 19 high temperature.** Persistent Changma front activity brings high humidity (often 80–90 %), frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and cap peak readings, favoring the closely clustered 27–28 °C outcomes (combined >50 % implied probability). Recent July settlements under similar conditions—28 °C on July 15 and 27 °C on July 9—illustrate how rain and moisture consistently suppress maxima below drier-scenario levels. Model consensus points to modest day-to-day fluctuations driven by the exact timing and intensity of any showers or breaks in cloud cover, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows typical mid-July highs near 28–30 °C, with the upper tail (30 °C or 31 °C+) requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler outcomes (≤26 °C) would need heavier or more prolonged precipitation. With resolution only two days away, traders closely monitor the latest KMA updates and mesoscale model runs for any shifts in the monsoon boundary or rainfall timing that would tip the balance among the tightly bunched leading contracts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 जुलाई को सियोल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 जुलाई को सियोल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$255,922 वॉल्यूम
$255,922 वॉल्यूम
19 जुल, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$255,922 वॉल्यूम
$255,922 वॉल्यूम
19 जुल, 2026
21°C or below
$503 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$375 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$1,067 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$11,808 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$12,898 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$96,870 वॉल्यूम
Yes
27°C
$42,456 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$12,734 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$16,540 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$20,671 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C or higher
$40,000 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-season dynamics and short-range variability primarily shape trader positioning for Seoul’s July 19 high temperature.** Persistent Changma front activity brings high humidity (often 80–90 %), frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and cap peak readings, favoring the closely clustered 27–28 °C outcomes (combined >50 % implied probability). Recent July settlements under similar conditions—28 °C on July 15 and 27 °C on July 9—illustrate how rain and moisture consistently suppress maxima below drier-scenario levels.
Model consensus points to modest day-to-day fluctuations driven by the exact timing and intensity of any showers or breaks in cloud cover, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows typical mid-July highs near 28–30 °C, with the upper tail (30 °C or 31 °C+) requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler outcomes (≤26 °C) would need heavier or more prolonged precipitation. With resolution only two days away, traders closely monitor the latest KMA updates and mesoscale model runs for any shifts in the monsoon boundary or rainfall timing that would tip the balance among the tightly bunched leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$255,922समाप्ति तिथि
19 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-season dynamics and short-range variability primarily shape trader positioning for Seoul’s July 19 high temperature.** Persistent Changma front activity brings high humidity (often 80–90 %), frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and cap peak readings, favoring the closely clustered 27–28 °C outcomes (combined >50 % implied probability). Recent July settlements under similar conditions—28 °C on July 15 and 27 °C on July 9—illustrate how rain and moisture consistently suppress maxima below drier-scenario levels.
Model consensus points to modest day-to-day fluctuations driven by the exact timing and intensity of any showers or breaks in cloud cover, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows typical mid-July highs near 28–30 °C, with the upper tail (30 °C or 31 °C+) requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler outcomes (≤26 °C) would need heavier or more prolonged precipitation. With resolution only two days away, traders closely monitor the latest KMA updates and mesoscale model runs for any shifts in the monsoon boundary or rainfall timing that would tip the balance among the tightly bunched leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$255,922समाप्ति तिथि
19 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
**Monsoon-season dynamics and short-range variability primarily shape trader positioning for Seoul’s July 19 high temperature.** Persistent Changma front activity brings high humidity (often 80–90 %), frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating and cap peak readings, favoring the closely clustered 27–28 °C outcomes (combined >50 % implied probability). Recent July settlements under similar conditions—28 °C on July 15 and 27 °C on July 9—illustrate how rain and moisture consistently suppress maxima below drier-scenario levels. Model consensus points to modest day-to-day fluctuations driven by the exact timing and intensity of any showers or breaks in cloud cover, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows typical mid-July highs near 28–30 °C, with the upper tail (30 °C or 31 °C+) requiring clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while cooler outcomes (≤26 °C) would need heavier or more prolonged precipitation. With resolution only two days away, traders closely monitor the latest KMA updates and mesoscale model runs for any shifts in the monsoon boundary or rainfall timing that would tip the balance among the tightly bunched leading contracts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न