Stable high-pressure systems dominating the eastern Mediterranean have produced clear skies, light winds, and subsidence warming, driving model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather toward a daytime maximum of 31–32°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 19. Typical August sea-surface temperatures near 29°C limit afternoon intensification, while climatological baselines and recent runs show little deviation from the long-term average high of ~31°C. This tight forecast cluster underpins the market’s strong preference for 32°C (74.5% implied probability), with modest secondary support for 31°C or 33°C reflecting minor model spread and the inherent uncertainty range in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating will be the next key input.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 73%
33°C 13%
31°C 11%
30°C <1%
$13,080 वॉल्यूम
$13,080 वॉल्यूम
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
73%
33°C
13%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 73%
33°C 13%
31°C 11%
30°C <1%
$13,080 वॉल्यूम
$13,080 वॉल्यूम
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
73%
33°C
13%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems dominating the eastern Mediterranean have produced clear skies, light winds, and subsidence warming, driving model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather toward a daytime maximum of 31–32°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 19. Typical August sea-surface temperatures near 29°C limit afternoon intensification, while climatological baselines and recent runs show little deviation from the long-term average high of ~31°C. This tight forecast cluster underpins the market’s strong preference for 32°C (74.5% implied probability), with modest secondary support for 31°C or 33°C reflecting minor model spread and the inherent uncertainty range in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating will be the next key input.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न