Forecast consensus from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate peak heat typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These factors align with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations, supporting the market’s strong implied probability for 33°C at 65%. Updated short-range guidance shows minimal heat advection or deviation risks through the weekend, keeping higher outcomes like 35°C below 5% while underscoring uncertainty ranges inherent in coastal temperature resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 65%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
31°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
65%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
31°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
65%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate peak heat typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These factors align with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations, supporting the market’s strong implied probability for 33°C at 65%. Updated short-range guidance shows minimal heat advection or deviation risks through the weekend, keeping higher outcomes like 35°C below 5% while underscoring uncertainty ranges inherent in coastal temperature resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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