Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light westerly flow following minor coastal drizzle on the 30th. This aligns with late-August climatology near 30–32°C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 61.5% implied probability. Stable high pressure and limited cloud cover reduce upside potential for 33°C or higher while making 30°C or below unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and the final official forecast before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 64%
31°C 30%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
64%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 30%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
64%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under mostly clear skies and light westerly flow following minor coastal drizzle on the 30th. This aligns with late-August climatology near 30–32°C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 61.5% implied probability. Stable high pressure and limited cloud cover reduce upside potential for 33°C or higher while making 30°C or below unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and the final official forecast before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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