Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy skies occasionally clearing, with 10% precipitation odds, giving a slight edge to the 23°C+ outcome at 25.5% implied probability while trader consensus clusters tightly around 18-22°C across other outcomes. This reflects persistent subtropical high pressure driving recent mild spring highs of 20-21°C over the past week, but inherent short-range uncertainty in ensemble models—particularly cloud cover variability and weak sea breezes—creates the even spread, as fuller sunshine could boost urban heat island effects while overcast conditions cap peaks near climatological norms of 19-20°C. JMA updates tomorrow may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 18?
20°C 34%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 17%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
22%
20°C
34%
21°C
31%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
11%
20°C 34%
21°C 31%
19°C 22%
22°C 17%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
22%
20°C
34%
21°C
31%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 18 under cloudy skies occasionally clearing, with 10% precipitation odds, giving a slight edge to the 23°C+ outcome at 25.5% implied probability while trader consensus clusters tightly around 18-22°C across other outcomes. This reflects persistent subtropical high pressure driving recent mild spring highs of 20-21°C over the past week, but inherent short-range uncertainty in ensemble models—particularly cloud cover variability and weak sea breezes—creates the even spread, as fuller sunshine could boost urban heat island effects while overcast conditions cap peaks near climatological norms of 19-20°C. JMA updates tomorrow may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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